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Microsoft Corporation

MSFT•NASDAQ•TECHNOLOGY
$383.34-5.50 (-1.41%)
Market closed•Prev close $388.84
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Research read

Active interest

Evidence read

Smart-money activity on MSFT this 14d.

Saved May 15, 2026· tracking vs the S&P 500

1 sourceLatest

Analyst estimate

+46.1% ($559.9)

12-month analyst consensus · Source: Alpha Vantage

Support

Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

Risk

Review the sections below before acting.

Tracking

Day 54 of 30D, -7.2% vs the S&P so far.

What's driving it

  • Smart money
  • Fundamentals
  • Technicals
  • Macro
Set alertReview evidenceFundamentalsTechnicals

vs S&P 500. Past performance does not predict future results. Market research, not investment advice.

Section

Smart Money

Funds, insiders, influencers, and government demand tied to this stock — pulled straight from SEC filings, Form 4s, X posts, and federal award data.

Institutional

Who owns this in size

Live8 holders
  • B

    Q1 2026 13F

    BlackRock holds $219.6B

  • SS

    Q1 2026 13F

    State Street holds $113.5B

  • JC

    Q4 2025 13F

    JPMorgan Chase holds $71.5B

    • 5 more holders on PRO

    Upgrade to see the full list, updated in real time.

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    Insiders

    What insiders are doing

    Live3 trades

    • Sell· EVP, Chief Marketing Officer

      Numoto Takeshi sold $1.0M of MICROSOFT CORP · Jun 10

    • Sell· CEO Microsoft Commercial

      Althoff Judson sold $7.1M of MICROSOFT CORP · Jun 2

    • Sell· EVP, Chief Human Resources Off

      Coleman Amy sold $519K of MICROSOFT CORP · May 18

    Influencers

    What traders are saying

    Live1 mention

    • @SwingTraderQBullish· Jul 8

      Says it's time to long everything, lists multiple tickers including MSFT.

    Govt contracts

    Federal awards tied to this company

    Checking USAspending awards...

    Other smart money signals

    Congress trades, activist stakes, short interest & more

    Live4 items

    • short interest change

      short-volume tape softening: latest 27.4% fell 10.3pp vs 20d avg 37.7%

      Moderate

    • short interest change

      short-volume tape softening: latest 27.4% fell 10.3pp vs 20d avg 37.7%

      Moderate

    • congressional trade

      Rep. Hon. John McGuire bought MSFT ($1,001-$15,000)

      Light

    1 more items on PRO

    Upgrade to see the full list, updated in real time.

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    Section

    Fundamentals

    Business quality, valuation, analyst expectations, and the EPS quarter-over-quarter chart.

    Fundamentals

    Is the business strong?

    Live

    Valuation

    • P/E23.15
    • Forward P/E19.92
    • P/S8.95
    • P/B6.93

    Quality

    • Profit margin39.3%
    • Operating margin46.3%
    • ROE34.0%
    • ROA14.8%

    Growth

    • Revenue YoY--
    • Earnings YoY--
    • Beta1.13
    • Dividend yield0.9%

    Snapshot

    Quick facts

    Updated Jul 9
    Market cap
    $2.85T
    52-week range
    $349.20 - $551.05
    Volume
    25.91M
    Sector
    TECHNOLOGY

    Analysts

    What do analysts expect?

    Live

    Current

    $383.34

    Target

    $559.93

    Earnings

    Did earnings help or hurt?

    Live
    $5.49$4.77$4.05$3.33$2.61Q2 '24Q4 '24Q2 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26
    BeatMissMatchEstimate

    Section

    Technicals

    Price trend, moving averages, 52-week range, and chart behavior.

    Price

    Stock chart

    3reads marked
    Prior read3

    Technicals

    Chart health

    Live

    Trailing returns

    • 5d+2.77%
    • 20d-6.90%
    • 60d+3.59%

    Trend vs moving averages

    • vs SMA50-5.34%
    • vs SMA200-13.27%

    52w range position

    $349.2017%$551.05

    Based on daily price data. Options flow and order-book data are not in this chart panel yet.

    Section

    Macro

    Sector rotation, market regime, policy, and event-window context.

    Macro

    Market backdrop

    Live

    • macro regime shift

      VIX 17.3 (mild) as of 2026-05-14

    • macro regime shift

      10y-2y spread 47bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-14

    • macro regime shift

      Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    • macro regime shift

      Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

    • macro regime shift

      CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Section

    News

    Catalysts, filings, and market-moving events when they matter.

    News

    Catalysts and headlines

    No data yet

    No major news catalyst found yet.

    Catalysts, filings, and event windows show here when they matter.

    Section

    Derivatives

    Options flow, volatility regime, gamma pressure, and positioning when available.

    Derivatives

    Options and positioning

    No data yet

    No derivative pressure found yet.

    Options flow, gamma, and volatility signals show here when available.

    +176.59 (+46.1%) possible upside12 months

    12-month analyst consensus · Source: Alpha Vantage