V

Vital Farms Inc

VITL•NASDAQ•CONSUMER DEFENSIVE
$10.01-0.44 (-4.21%)
Market closed•Prev close $10.45

Price action

Daily adjusted bars

5signals overlaid
Prior signal5

Snapshot

Key stats

AV May 29
Market cap
$447.8M
P/E ratio
10.05
Forward P/E
208.33
Beta
1.20
52W range
$7.95 - $53.12
Dividend yield
--
Volume
2.44M
Sector
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE

Analyst

Consensus price target

Live

Current

$10.01

Target

$11.67

+1.66 (+16.6%) upside12mo horizon

AlphaYou verdict

Insider Buy

LONGLive
12/ 100
WeakScore 12 / 100Issued May 22, 2026

Insider bought $20K of VITL this 14d.

  • Smart money3.2/40
  • Fundamentals3.8/35
  • Technicals2.0/15
  • Macro3.1/10

Receipts

Recent signals for this ticker

LiveAll signals
  • ContextMay 22
    Insider Buy

    Insider bought $20K of VITL this 14d.

    Watch · Mixed Evidence·Checkpoints pending
  • ContextMay 22
    Insider Buy

    Insider bought $51K of VITL this 14d.

    Watch · Mixed Evidence·Checkpoints pending
  • LONGMay 20
    Insider Cluster

    3 insiders bought $120K of VITL this 14d.

    Public Recommendation·Checkpoints pending
  • LONGMay 19
    Multi-Insider Cluster

    C-suite + 4 other insiders bought $207K of VITL this 14d.

    Public Recommendation·Checkpoints pending
  • ContextMay 19
    Insider Buy

    Insider bought $25K of VITL this 14d.

    Watch · Mixed Evidence·Checkpoints pending

Smart money

Insider, fund, and political flow

Live27 receipts

  • insider buy

    Chief People Officer Van Hoven Reena Chauhan bought $20K

    +39997.0

  • filing 13f fund flow

    Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $3.0M (13F 2025-12-31)

    +5.0

  • filing 13f fund flow

    Two Sigma Investments LP holds $23.5M (13F 2026-03-31)

    +4.0

  • filing 13f fund flow

    Citadel Advisors LLC holds $16.4M (13F 2025-12-31)

    +4.0

  • filing 13f fund flow

    FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $21.5M (13F 2025-12-31)

    +3.0

  • insider buy

    Director Flanagan Glenda J bought $51K

    +101626.0

Top trader activity

Pending

Copy-trading signal layer from real US-equity operators. Wires in once the CopyTrading feed is mapped to US-stock tickers.

BTC Astro risk regime

Pending

Cross-asset risk timing overlay. Used as context only, never a primary stock source.

Reputation

Sources and actors behind this ticker

LiveDirectory

Source families

Actors and filers

Checkpoint ledger

Public recommendation outcomes

Pending

No public recommendation checkpoints have landed for this ticker yet.

D7 appears first, then D15 and D30 as the call matures.

Each row is a public recommendation. Alpha columns compare the frozen issued price with SPY, QQQ, and sector ETF checkpoints when available.

Raw source coverage

Primary-source receipt chain

LiveMethod
100.0%
Linked
8
Events
2
Signals
2
Recs
Source coverage8/8
SEC EDGAR Form 48/8 linked
Recent source events

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · May 19· source

    raw linked

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · May 19· source

    raw linked

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · May 19· source

    raw linked

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · May 18· source

    raw linked

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · May 18· source

    raw linked

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · May 18· source

    raw linked

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · May 18· source

    raw linked

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · May 18· source

    raw linked

Fundamentals

Valuation, quality, growth

Live

Valuation

  • P/E10.05
  • Forward P/E208.33
  • P/S0.57
  • P/B1.36

Quality

  • Profit margin6.1%
  • Operating margin-1.3%
  • ROE15.4%
  • ROA9.2%

Growth

  • Revenue YoY--
  • Earnings YoY--
  • Beta1.20
  • Dividend yield--

Technicals

Trend, momentum, levels

Live

Trailing returns

  • 5d+8.33%
  • 20d-26.67%
  • 60d-49.98%

Trend vs SMAs

  • vs SMA50-15.73%
  • vs SMA200-65.37%

52w range position

$7.955%$53.12

Computed from AV daily adjusted bars. No options-flow, IV, or order-book signals on this page yet.

Macro

Sector + regime context

Live

  • macro regime shift

    VIX 17.4 (mild) as of 2026-05-20

    +17.4

  • macro regime shift

    10y-2y spread 49bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-21

    +0.5

  • macro regime shift

    Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    +102.5

  • macro regime shift

    Initial claims 209,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.98, neutral)

    +1.0

  • macro regime shift

    CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    +4.0

Earnings

EPS beat / miss history

Live
$0.50$0.35$0.20$0.05$-0.10Q2 '24Q4 '24Q2 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26
BeatMissMatchEstimate

Debate

Key issues

Live

  • Bullish view

    • Chief People Officer Van Hoven Reena Chauhan bought $20K
    • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $3.0M (13F 2025-12-31)
    • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $23.5M (13F 2026-03-31)
    • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $16.4M (13F 2025-12-31)

    Bearish view

    • Pending dilution: 1 S-3/S-8 shelf in trailing 90d
    • Pending dilution: 1 S-3/S-8 shelf in trailing 90d
    • Pending dilution: 1 S-3/S-8 shelf in trailing 90d
    • Pending dilution: 1 S-3/S-8 shelf in trailing 90d

Arguments are pulled from contributing receipts (Form 4 / 13F / fundamentals / macro) for this ticker. Each side carries the count of receipts behind it, not an analyst headline count.

Track record

Recommendation receipts

LiveFull page

vs SPY

S&P 500

2 recs · 2L · 0S

Median alpha

+14.64%

Mean alpha

+14.64%

Hit rate

100.0%

Mean return

+16.58%

vs QQQ

Nasdaq-100

2 recs · 2L · 0S

Median alpha

+13.06%

Mean alpha

+13.06%

Hit rate

100.0%

Mean return

+16.58%

D7 recommendation-counted alpha. Each receipt aggregates same-day same-direction signals into one row to avoid double-counting.