Price action
Daily adjusted bars
Snapshot
Key stats
- Market cap
- $3.07T
- P/E ratio
- 24.56
- Forward P/E
- 21.23
- Beta
- 1.09
- 52W range
- $355.51 - $551.05
- Dividend yield
- 0.86%
- Volume
- 79.65M
- Sector
- TECHNOLOGY
Analyst
Consensus price target
Current
$450.24
Target
$560.63
AlphaYou verdict
Insider Cluster
Smart-money signal on MSFT this 14d.
- Smart money8.0/40
- Fundamentals5.2/35
- Technicals2.0/15
- Macro2.0/10
Receipts
Recent signals for this ticker
- LONGMay 15Insider Cluster
Smart-money signal on MSFT this 14d.
Public Recommendation·Checkpoints pending - LONGMay 15Insider Cluster
Smart-money signal on MSFT this 14d.
Public Recommendation·Checkpoints pending - LONGMay 15Insider Cluster
Smart-money signal on MSFT this 14d.
Public Recommendation·Checkpoints pending
Smart money
Insider, fund, and political flow
filing 13f fund flow
Pershing Square Capital Management, L.P. opened position ($2.1B)
filing 13f fund flow
Tiger Global Management LLC holds $925.4M (13F 2026-03-31)
filing 13f fund flow
Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $332.8M (13F 2025-12-31)
filing 13f fund flow
ARK Investment Management LLC holds $2.4M (13F 2026-03-31)
filing 13f fund flow
Marshall Wace North America LP holds $3.7B (13F 2025-12-31)
filing nport p fund flow
Fidelity Magellan Fund holds $3.3B (NPORT-P 2026-03-31)
Top trader activity
PendingCopy-trading signal layer from real US-equity operators. Wires in once the CopyTrading feed is mapped to US-stock tickers.
BTC Astro risk regime
PendingCross-asset risk timing overlay. Used as context only, never a primary stock source.
Reputation
Sources and actors behind this ticker
Source families
- house-clerk-ptr-pdf
Source family
D7
12
-0.42%
41.7% hit
D15
8
+1.16%
62.5% hit
D30
pending
Actors and filers
- Hon. John McGuire
CONGRESS
D7
1
-0.94%
0.0% hit
D15
pending
D30
pending
Checkpoint ledger
Public recommendation outcomes
No public recommendation checkpoints have landed for this ticker yet.
D7 appears first, then D15 and D30 as the call matures.
Each row is a public recommendation. Alpha columns compare the frozen issued price with SPY, QQQ, and sector ETF checkpoints when available.
Raw source coverage
Primary-source receipt chain
- legacy
SEC EDGAR 13F
FILING 13F FUND FLOW · May 15
- legacy
SEC EDGAR 13F
FILING 13F FUND FLOW · May 15
- raw linked
house-clerk-ptr-pdf
CONGRESSIONAL TRADE · May 13· source
Fundamentals
Valuation, quality, growth
Valuation
- P/E24.56
- Forward P/E21.23
- P/S9.63
- P/B7.40
Quality
- Profit margin39.3%
- Operating margin46.3%
- ROE34.0%
- ROA14.8%
Growth
- Revenue YoY--
- Earnings YoY--
- Beta1.09
- Dividend yield0.9%
Technicals
Trend, momentum, levels
Trailing returns
- 5d+7.43%
- 20d+10.65%
- 60d+11.36%
Trend vs SMAs
- vs SMA50+11.98%
- vs SMA200-1.35%
52w range position
Computed from AV daily adjusted bars. No options-flow, IV, or order-book signals on this page yet.
Macro
Sector + regime context
- +17.3
macro regime shift
VIX 17.3 (mild) as of 2026-05-14
- +0.5
macro regime shift
10y-2y spread 47bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-14
- +102.5
macro regime shift
Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01
- +1.0
macro regime shift
Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)
- +4.0
macro regime shift
CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)
Earnings
EPS beat / miss history
Debate
Key issues
Bullish view
- Pershing Square Capital Management, L.P. opened position ($2.1B)
- Tiger Global Management LLC holds $925.4M (13F 2026-03-31)
- Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $332.8M (13F 2025-12-31)
- ARK Investment Management LLC holds $2.4M (13F 2026-03-31)
Bearish view
No receipts on this side yet.
Arguments are pulled from contributing receipts (Form 4 / 13F / fundamentals / macro) for this ticker. Each side carries the count of receipts behind it, not an analyst headline count.
Track record
Recommendation receipts
vs SPY
S&P 500
Median alpha
-0.74%
Mean alpha
-0.57%
Hit rate
0.0%
Mean return
+0.52%
vs QQQ
Nasdaq-100
Median alpha
-1.67%
Mean alpha
-1.65%
Hit rate
0.0%
Mean return
+0.52%
D7 recommendation-counted alpha. Each receipt aggregates same-day same-direction signals into one row to avoid double-counting.