G

Graphic Packaging Holding Company

GPKNYSECONSUMER CYCLICAL
$11.26-0.26 (-2.26%)
Market closedPrev close $11.52

Price action

Daily adjusted bars

2signals overlaid
Prior signal2

Snapshot

Key stats

AV May 29
Market cap
$3.20B
P/E ratio
11.76
Forward P/E
14.43
Beta
0.62
52W range
$8.79 - $23.20
Dividend yield
4.28%
Volume
11.54M
Sector
CONSUMER CYCLICAL

Analyst

Consensus price target

Live

Current

$11.26

Target

$11.79

+0.53 (+4.7%) upside12mo horizon

AlphaYou verdict

Insider Cluster

LONGLive
14/ 100
WeakScore 14 / 100Issued May 28, 2026

Smart-money signal on GPK this 14d.

  • Smart money6.0/40
  • Fundamentals3.3/35
  • Technicals2.0/15
  • Macro3.0/10

Receipts

Recent signals for this ticker

  • LONGMay 28
    Insider Cluster

    Smart-money signal on GPK this 14d.

    Public Recommendation·Checkpoints pending
  • LONGMay 13
    Insider Cluster

    2 insiders bought $354K of GPK this 14d.

    Public Recommendation·Checkpoints pending

Smart money

Insider, fund, and political flow

Live14 receipts
  • filing 13f fund flow

    TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP increased position ($28.5M) (+248%)

    +4.0
  • filing 13f fund flow

    Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $19.5M (13F 2025-12-31)

    +5.0
  • filing 13f fund flow

    Citadel Advisors LLC holds $14.8M (13F 2025-12-31)

    +4.0
  • filing nport p fund flow

    Janus Investment Fund (legacy active) holds $299K (NPORT-P 2025-09-30)

    +4.0
  • filing 13f fund flow

    FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $173.6M (13F 2025-12-31)

    +3.0
  • short interest change

    short-volume tape softening: latest 42.6% fell 8.8pp vs 20d avg 51.4%

    +1.0

Top trader activity

Pending

Copy-trading signal layer from real US-equity operators. Wires in once the CopyTrading feed is mapped to US-stock tickers.

BTC Astro risk regime

Pending

Cross-asset risk timing overlay. Used as context only, never a primary stock source.

Reputation

Sources and actors behind this ticker

Source families

Actors and filers

Checkpoint ledger

Public recommendation outcomes

Pending

No public recommendation checkpoints have landed for this ticker yet.

D7 appears first, then D15 and D30 as the call matures.

Each row is a public recommendation. Alpha columns compare the frozen issued price with SPY, QQQ, and sector ETF checkpoints when available.

Raw source coverage

Primary-source receipt chain

100.0%
Linked
3
Events
2
Signals
2
Recs
Source coverage3/3
SEC EDGAR Form 42/2 linked
SEC EDGAR 13F1/1 linked
Recent source events
  • SEC EDGAR 13F

    FILING 13F FUND FLOW · May 15· source

    raw linked
  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · May 11· source

    raw linked
  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · May 11· source

    raw linked

Fundamentals

Valuation, quality, growth

Live

Valuation

  • P/E11.76
  • Forward P/E14.43
  • P/S0.37
  • P/B0.99

Quality

  • Profit margin3.2%
  • Operating margin4.1%
  • ROE8.6%
  • ROA3.8%

Growth

  • Revenue YoY--
  • Earnings YoY--
  • Beta0.62
  • Dividend yield4.3%

Technicals

Trend, momentum, levels

Live

Trailing returns

  • 5d+12.15%
  • 20d+18.15%
  • 60d+1.76%

Trend vs SMAs

  • vs SMA50+14.50%
  • vs SMA200-22.52%

52w range position

$8.7917%$23.20

Computed from AV daily adjusted bars. No options-flow, IV, or order-book signals on this page yet.

Macro

Sector + regime context

Live
  • macro regime shift

    VIX 16.3 (mild) as of 2026-05-27

    +16.3
  • macro regime shift

    10y-2y spread 48bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-27

    +0.5
  • macro regime shift

    Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    +102.5
  • macro regime shift

    Initial claims 215,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 1.01, neutral)

    +1.0
  • macro regime shift

    CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    +4.0

Earnings

EPS beat / miss history

Live
$0.77$0.57$0.37$0.17$-0.03Q2 '24Q4 '24Q2 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26
BeatMissMatchEstimate

Debate

Key issues

Live
  • Bullish view

    • TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP increased position ($28.5M) (+248%)
    • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $19.5M (13F 2025-12-31)
    • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $14.8M (13F 2025-12-31)
    • Janus Investment Fund (legacy active) holds $299K (NPORT-P 2025-09-30)

    Bearish view

    No receipts on this side yet.

Arguments are pulled from contributing receipts (Form 4 / 13F / fundamentals / macro) for this ticker. Each side carries the count of receipts behind it, not an analyst headline count.

Track record

Recommendation receipts

vs SPY

S&P 500

1 rec · 1L · 0S

Median alpha

+0.55%

Mean alpha

+0.55%

Hit rate

100.0%

Mean return

+0.41%

vs QQQ

Nasdaq-100

1 rec · 1L · 0S

Median alpha

+0.63%

Mean alpha

+0.63%

Hit rate

100.0%

Mean return

+0.41%

D7 recommendation-counted alpha. Each receipt aggregates same-day same-direction signals into one row to avoid double-counting.