A

Arbor Realty Trust

ABRNYSEREAL ESTATE
$5.16-0.04 (-0.77%)
Market closedPrev close $5.20

AlphaYou read

Insider Buy

LONGLive
14/ 100
WeakScore 14 / 100Saved Jun 10, 2026

Insider bought $154K of ABR this 14d.

Looks good

Insider bought $154K of ABR this 14d.

Watch risk

Conviction is weak; save it and wait for stronger confirmation.

Changed

Saved Jun 10, 2026. Day 1 of 30D; +0.0% vs S&P so far.

  • Smart money6.0/40
  • Fundamentals4.0/35
  • Technicals2.0/15
  • Macro2.0/10

Price

Stock chart

2calls marked
Prior call2

Snapshot

Quick facts

Updated Jun 12
Market cap
$1.11B
P/E ratio
13.28
Forward P/E
11.74
Beta
1.11
52-week range
$5.10 - $11.40
Dividend yield
20.20%
Volume
3.42M
Sector
REAL ESTATE

Analysts

What do analysts expect?

Live

Current

$5.16

Target

$7.50

+2.34 (+45.3%) possible upside12 months

Saved calls

Recent AlphaYou calls for this stock

  • LONGJun 10
    Insider Buy

    Insider bought $154K of ABR this 14d.

    Public call·Results pending
  • LONGMay 28
    Insider Buy

    Insider bought $46K of ABR this 14d.

    Public call·Results pending

Smart money

What big buyers and insiders are doing

Live14 items
  • insider buy

    Director Tsunis George bought $149K

    +297972.0
  • insider buy

    Director Tsunis George bought $5K

    +10960.0
  • filing 13f fund flow

    D. E. Shaw & Co Inc holds $32.4M (13F 2026-03-31)

    +4.0
  • filing 13f fund flow

    Citadel Advisors LLC holds $1.1M (13F 2025-12-31)

    +4.0
  • filing 13f fund flow

    Two Sigma Investments LP holds $209K (13F 2026-03-31)

    +4.0
  • filing 13f fund flow

    FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $119K (13F 2025-12-31)

    +3.0

Top trader activity

Pending

Real trader activity will show here once the feed is ready.

BTC Astro risk regime

Pending

A broad risk read. Used only as context, not as the main stock reason.

Who helped?

Sources tied to past calls on this stock

Source types

  • SEC EDGAR 13F

    Source family

    D7

    173

    +1.16%

    59.5% hit

    D15

    116

    +0.68%

    53.4% hit

    D30

    pending

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    Source family

    D7

    171

    +1.87%

    60.2% hit

    D15

    118

    +2.76%

    65.3% hit

    D30

    7

    +2.97%

    57.1% hit

Funds, insiders, and filers

Did it work?

How past calls did

Soon

No results yet for this stock.

Results appear 7, 15, and 30 days after a call.

Each row shows what happened after the call. Green means it beat the comparison; red means it lagged.

Source links

Can you check the original source?

LiveRules
100.0%
Linked
6
Items
2
Calls
2
Public calls
Source links6/6
SEC EDGAR Form 45/5 linked
SEC EDGAR 13F1/1 linked
Recent source items
  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · Jun 5· source

    linked
  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · Jun 3· source

    linked
  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · May 27· source

    linked
  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · May 20· source

    linked
  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · May 18· source

    linked
  • SEC EDGAR 13F

    FILING 13F FUND FLOW · May 15· source

    linked

Fundamentals

Is the business strong?

Live

Valuation

  • P/E13.28
  • Forward P/E11.74
  • P/S2.09
  • P/B0.46

Quality

  • Profit margin22.4%
  • Operating margin18.8%
  • ROE4.1%
  • ROA0.9%

Growth

  • Revenue YoY--
  • Earnings YoY--
  • Beta1.11
  • Dividend yield20.2%

Technicals

Chart health

Live

Trailing returns

  • 5d-7.19%
  • 20d-9.57%
  • 60d-31.65%

Trend vs moving averages

  • vs SMA50-22.47%
  • vs SMA200-36.50%

52w range position

$5.101%$11.40

Based on daily price data. Options flow and order-book data are not in this chart panel yet.

Macro

Market backdrop

Live
  • sector rotation

    5/11 sectors leading SPY by >=1pp over 20d (broad-based uptrend)

    +1.0
  • macro regime shift

    Speculator (leveraged-money) net short on E-MINI S&P 500 at 1.9th percentile vs trailing 52w (extreme bearish positioning, mean-reversion bullish) as of 2026-06-02

    +1.0
  • macro regime shift

    VIX 16.3 (mild) as of 2026-05-27

    +16.3
  • macro regime shift

    10y-2y spread 48bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-27

    +0.5
  • macro regime shift

    Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    +102.5

Earnings

Did earnings help or hurt?

Live
$0.51$0.38$0.26$0.14$0.01Q2 '24Q4 '24Q2 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26
BeatMissMatchEstimate

Bull vs bear

What could help or hurt?

Live
  • Bullish view

    • Director Tsunis George bought $149K
    • Director Tsunis George bought $5K
    • D. E. Shaw & Co Inc holds $32.4M (13F 2026-03-31)
    • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $1.1M (13F 2025-12-31)

    Bearish view

    No reasons on this side yet.

Reasons come from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Counts show how many reasons sit on each side.

Scorecard

Past call results

vs SPY

S&P 500

1 call · 1L · 0S

Typical edge

-2.04%

Avg edge

-2.04%

Hit rate

0.0%

Mean return

-4.55%

vs QQQ

Nasdaq-100

1 call · 1L · 0S

Typical edge

-0.04%

Avg edge

-0.04%

Hit rate

0.0%

Mean return

-4.55%

Results are grouped by stock, direction, and day so the same call is not counted twice.