Proof code c281d0f9e46f matches the saved-before-result record below. Wins and misses stay visible.
Smart-money signal on HAL this 14d.
Start with the four driver buckets, then open each section for the source-level detail behind the call.
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC increased position ($183.1M) (+371%)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Point72 Asset Management, L.P. increased position ($33.1M) (+657%)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
American Funds Insurance Series holds $189.1M (NPORT-P 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
Two Sigma Investments LP holds $81.2M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Balyasny Asset Management LP holds $39.4M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Capital Group Equity ETF Trust I holds $2.9M (NPORT-P 2026-02-28)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $204.7M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
short-volume tape softening: latest 16.4% fell 11.0pp vs 20d avg 27.4%
FINRA short interest· source
Pending dilution: 1 S-3/S-8 shelf in trailing 90d
SEC EDGAR dilution filings
Operating margin expanded 461bps YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
Net debt reduced 1.1% YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
Share count declined 3.1% YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
Profitable (7.0% net margin)
10-Q + 10-K· source
Forward P/E 12.8 (reasonable)
Sector comps + FMP· source
Analyst EPS revisions net positive over 30d (1 net revisions)
Earnings calendar· source
Latest day's short ratio 16.4% (11.0pp below 20d baseline)
Price + volume· source
VIX 16.6 (mild) as of 2026-07-01
Macro composite· source
10y-2y spread 35bps (flattish) as of 2026-07-02
Macro composite· source
Industrial Production 102.6 (mild expansion) as of 2026-05-01
Macro composite· source
Initial claims 215,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 1.01, neutral)
Macro composite· source
CPI YoY 4.27% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
HY OAS 2.74pp at 21th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
Non-farm payrolls 0.32% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
Retail sales 6.88% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 44.8 (weak) as of 2026-05-01
Macro composite· source
10y-3m spread 67bps (positive) as of 2026-07-02
Macro composite· source
8/11 sectors leading SPY by >=1pp over 20d (broad-based uptrend)
ETF flows + sector data· source
Equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) +4.0pp vs SPY, Russell 2000 (IWM) +4.7pp vs SPY (broad participation)
ETF flows + sector data· source
AlphaYou measures this call against SPY at fixed checkpoints. Wins and misses stay visible on the public record.
Volatility-fitted target. This call used per-stock volatility inputs when it was saved. Entry $33.0, latest close $34.2, target $35.9-$36.6.
Next check: 7D in 7D
When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, reasons, target range, price, and time so the record can be checked later.
Call saved on Bitcoin block 956482.