AlphaYouVerified receipt
This saved call resolves to STZ.
Proof code 3bdcd7cceb2c matches the saved-before-result record below. Wins and misses stay visible.
STZ
LongInsider ClusterSmart-money signal on STZ this 14d.
Why this call?
26 source inputs support this call.
Start with the four driver buckets, then open each section for the source-level detail behind the call.
Smart MoneyMultiple inputs7 inputs
DriverCITADEL ADVISORS LLC increased position ($556.4M) (+377%)
FundamentalsMultiple inputs6 inputs
DriverOperating margin expanded 2630bps YoY
TechnicalsSingle input1 input
DriverLatest day's short ratio 23.9% (9.8pp below 20d baseline)
MacroMultiple inputs12 inputs
DriverVIX 16.6 (mild) as of 2026-07-01
Smart Money7 inputs
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC increased position ($556.4M) (+377%)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Berkshire Hathaway Inc holds $94.9M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $6.0M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Balyasny Asset Management LP holds $314.1M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Point72 Asset Management LP holds $283.8M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
- AF
American Funds Insurance Series holds $86.9M (NPORT-P 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
- SM
short-volume tape softening: latest 23.9% fell 9.8pp vs 20d avg 33.7%
FINRA short interest· source
Fundamentals6 inputs
Operating margin expanded 2630bps YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
Share count declined 2.6% YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
Earnings call within 4d (pre-earnings setup window)
Earnings calendar
Strong ROE (22.6%)
10-Q + 10-K· source
Profitable (18.5% net margin)
10-Q + 10-K· source
Forward P/E 11.7 (reasonable)
Sector comps + FMP· source
Technicals1 input
Latest day's short ratio 23.9% (9.8pp below 20d baseline)
Price + volume· source
Macro12 inputs
VIX 16.6 (mild) as of 2026-07-01
Macro composite· source
10y-2y spread 35bps (flattish) as of 2026-07-02
Macro composite· source
Industrial Production 102.6 (mild expansion) as of 2026-05-01
Macro composite· source
Initial claims 215,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 1.01, neutral)
Macro composite· source
CPI YoY 4.27% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
HY OAS 2.74pp at 21th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
Non-farm payrolls 0.32% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
Retail sales 6.88% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 44.8 (weak) as of 2026-05-01
Macro composite· source
10y-3m spread 67bps (positive) as of 2026-07-02
Macro composite· source
8/11 sectors leading SPY by >=1pp over 20d (broad-based uptrend)
ETF flows + sector data· source
Equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) +4.0pp vs SPY, Russell 2000 (IWM) +4.7pp vs SPY (broad participation)
ETF flows + sector data· source
Result checks
- 7D
- 15D
- 30D
- 60D
- 90D
- 120D
- 180D
- 1Y
Public record
Source links complete.
We group 1 same-day call into one public result, so wins and misses cannot be cherry-picked. The source links below show what the call was based on.
100.0%
linked
1
event
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Source links1 / 1
SEC EDGAR 13F1/1 linked
Latest source items
- raw linked
SEC EDGAR 13F
FILING 13F FUND FLOW · 2026-05-15· source
Past source results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call
SEC EDGAR 13F+0.93%
D7
+0.93%
187 calls · 57% hit
D15
+1.13%
187 calls · 57% hit
D30
+1.53%
166 calls · 57% hit
Past person or fund results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call
No older results for this person or fund yet.
Call timingSaved record, target window, and result checks
- Target
- +7% to +8%
- Type
- Volatility-fitted
- Saved
- Jul 3, 2026
- Hold
- 15D
ExpandCollapse
Call timing
Saved record, target window, and result checks
- Target
- +7% to +8%
- Type
- Volatility-fitted
- Saved
- Jul 3, 2026
- Hold
- 15D
- Target
- +7% to +8%
- Type
- Volatility-fitted
- Saved
- Jul 3, 2026
- Entry
- $137.5
- Window
- 15D
Day 0of 15
AlphaYou measures this call against SPY at fixed checkpoints. Wins and misses stay visible on the public record.
Volatility-fitted target. This call used per-stock volatility inputs when it was saved. Entry $137.5, latest close $144.1, target $147.1-$148.5.
Next check: 7D in 7D
Audit trail
Active · step 3 of 6- Detected
- Verified
- Active
- Cooling
- Resolved
- Measured
Proof
Call saved on Bitcoin blockchain.
When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, reasons, target range, price, and time so the record can be checked later.
Call saved on Bitcoin block 956482.
Saved record code
3bdcd7cceb2cca953e8fdc3517593271b26848fe66a359073a524c8fa9f17d84
- Saved time
- 2026-07-03 08:11 UTC
- Ticker
- STZ
- Direction
- Long
- Issued price
- $137.5
- Bitcoin block
- 956482