AlphaYou
AMZN
LongInsider ClusterSmart-money signal on AMZN this 14d.
Why this call?
25 source inputs support this call.
Start with the four driver buckets, then open each section for the source-level detail behind the call.
Smart MoneyMultiple inputs6 inputs
DriverAPPALOOSA LP increased position ($899.7M) (+98%)
FundamentalsMultiple inputs7 inputs
DriverRevenue growth 16.6% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)
TechnicalsNo active inputs0 inputs
DriverWaiting for source confirmation
MacroMultiple inputs12 inputs
DriverVIX 16.6 (mild) as of 2026-07-01
Smart Money6 inputs
APPALOOSA LP increased position ($899.7M) (+98%)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Pershing Square Capital Management LP holds $2.4B (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Tiger Global Management LLC holds $2.1B (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Berkshire Hathaway Inc holds $525.3M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
ARK Investment Management LLC holds $282.3M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $205.6M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Fundamentals7 inputs
Revenue growth 16.6% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)
Earnings releases (8-K)· source
Operating margin expanded 132bps YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
Strong ROE (24.3%)
10-Q + 10-K· source
Profitable (12.2% net margin)
10-Q + 10-K· source
Forward P/E 31.1 (reasonable)
Sector comps + FMP· source
Analyst target $312.99 >5% above 52w high
Earnings releases (8-K)· source
Analyst EPS revisions net positive over 30d (22 net revisions)
Earnings calendar· source
Technicals0 inputs
- No active source input in this bucket.
Macro12 inputs
VIX 16.6 (mild) as of 2026-07-01
Macro composite· source
10y-2y spread 35bps (flattish) as of 2026-07-02
Macro composite· source
Industrial Production 102.6 (mild expansion) as of 2026-05-01
Macro composite· source
Initial claims 215,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 1.01, neutral)
Macro composite· source
CPI YoY 4.27% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
HY OAS 2.74pp at 21th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
Non-farm payrolls 0.32% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
Retail sales 6.88% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 44.8 (weak) as of 2026-05-01
Macro composite· source
10y-3m spread 67bps (positive) as of 2026-07-02
Macro composite· source
8/11 sectors leading SPY by >=1pp over 20d (broad-based uptrend)
ETF flows + sector data· source
Equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) +4.0pp vs SPY, Russell 2000 (IWM) +4.7pp vs SPY (broad participation)
ETF flows + sector data· source
Result checks
- 7D
- 15D
- 30D
- 60D
- 90D
- 120D
- 180D
- 1Y
Public record
Source links complete.
We group 1 same-day call into one public result, so wins and misses cannot be cherry-picked. The source links below show what the call was based on.
100.0%
linked
1
event
1
sources
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calls
Source links1 / 1
SEC EDGAR 13F1/1 linked
Latest source items
- raw linked
SEC EDGAR 13F
FILING 13F FUND FLOW · 2026-05-15· source
Past source results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call
SEC EDGAR 13F+0.93%
D7
+0.93%
187 calls · 57% hit
D15
+1.13%
187 calls · 57% hit
D30
+1.53%
166 calls · 57% hit
Past person or fund results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call
No older results for this person or fund yet.
Call timingSaved record, target window, and result checks
- Target
- +9% to +11%
- Type
- Volatility-fitted
- Saved
- Jul 3, 2026
- Hold
- 30D
ExpandCollapse
Call timing
Saved record, target window, and result checks
- Target
- +9% to +11%
- Type
- Volatility-fitted
- Saved
- Jul 3, 2026
- Hold
- 30D
- Target
- +9% to +11%
- Type
- Volatility-fitted
- Saved
- Jul 3, 2026
- Entry
- $242.7
- Window
- 30D
Day 0of 30
AlphaYou measures this call against SPY at fixed checkpoints. Wins and misses stay visible on the public record.
Volatility-fitted target. This call used per-stock volatility inputs when it was saved. Recent 30-day swing pace: about +/-11.3% from 15 daily moves. Entry $242.7, latest close $241.7, target $264.5-$269.4.
Next check: 7D in 7D
Audit trail
Active · step 3 of 6- Detected
- Verified
- Active
- Cooling
- Resolved
- Measured
Proof
Call saved on Bitcoin blockchain.
When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, reasons, target range, price, and time so the record can be checked later.
Call saved on Bitcoin block 956482.
Saved record code
6c60ebaf5dcf4d60cc126d6d7fd67a3210d3d700dbb7988202024d8df541d481
- Saved time
- 2026-07-03 08:11 UTC
- Ticker
- AMZN
- Direction
- Long
- Issued price
- $242.7
- Bitcoin block
- 956482