Smart-money signal on ONC this 14d.
Start with the four driver buckets, then open each section for the source-level detail behind the call.
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC increased position ($306.6M) (+93%)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $19.4M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
American Funds Insurance Series holds $10.5M (NPORT-P 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
Two Sigma Investments LP holds $10.0M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Balyasny Asset Management LP holds $446K (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $1.1B (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Revenue growth 35.5% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)
Earnings releases (8-K)· source
Operating margin expanded 1552bps YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
Trailing-12mo free cash flow grew 452.0% vs prior 12mo
10-Q + 10-K· source
Net debt reduced 139.7% YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
Share count declined 92.0% YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
Profitable (8.9% net margin)
10-Q + 10-K· source
Analyst target $412.38 >5% above 52w high
Earnings releases (8-K)· source
Analyst EPS revisions net positive over 30d (7 net revisions)
Earnings calendar· source
VIX 16.6 (mild) as of 2026-07-01
Macro composite· source
10y-2y spread 35bps (flattish) as of 2026-07-02
Macro composite· source
Industrial Production 102.6 (mild expansion) as of 2026-05-01
Macro composite· source
Initial claims 215,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 1.01, neutral)
Macro composite· source
CPI YoY 4.27% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
HY OAS 2.74pp at 21th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
Non-farm payrolls 0.32% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
Retail sales 6.88% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 44.8 (weak) as of 2026-05-01
Macro composite· source
10y-3m spread 67bps (positive) as of 2026-07-02
Macro composite· source
8/11 sectors leading SPY by >=1pp over 20d (broad-based uptrend)
ETF flows + sector data· source
Equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) +4.0pp vs SPY, Russell 2000 (IWM) +4.7pp vs SPY (broad participation)
ETF flows + sector data· source
We group 1 same-day call into one public result, so wins and misses cannot be cherry-picked. The source links below show what the call was based on.
SEC EDGAR 13F
FILING 13F FUND FLOW · 2026-05-15· source
No older results for this person or fund yet.
AlphaYou measures this call against SPY at fixed checkpoints. Wins and misses stay visible on the public record.
Volatility-fitted target. This call used per-stock volatility inputs when it was saved. Entry $297.7, latest close $263.9, target $324.4-$330.4.
Next check: 7D in 7D
When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, reasons, target range, price, and time so the record can be checked later.
Call saved on Bitcoin block 956482.