AlphaYouNot public. This call is held back from public pages. The saved record is still visible here, but this is not an AlphaYou public call. Read rules.
AFG
LongInsider ClusterSmart-money signal on AFG this 14d.
Why this call?
27 source inputs support this call.
Start with the four driver buckets, then open each section for the source-level detail behind the call.
Smart MoneyMultiple inputs6 inputs
DriverCITADEL ADVISORS LLC increased position ($38.8M) (+249%)
FundamentalsMultiple inputs8 inputs
DriverRevenue growth 0.6% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)
TechnicalsSingle input1 input
DriverLatest day's short ratio 29.6% (13.6pp below 20d baseline)
MacroMultiple inputs12 inputs
DriverVIX 16.6 (mild) as of 2026-07-01
Smart Money6 inputs
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC increased position ($38.8M) (+249%)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Balyasny Asset Management LP holds $99.0M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Two Sigma Investments LP holds $41.3M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Point72 Asset Management LP holds $4.2M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
- FL
FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $814.0M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
- SM
short-volume tape softening: latest 29.6% fell 13.6pp vs 20d avg 43.2%
FINRA short interest· source
Fundamentals8 inputs
Revenue growth 0.6% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)
Earnings releases (8-K)· source
Operating margin expanded 220bps YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
Trailing-12mo free cash flow grew 23.5% vs prior 12mo
10-Q + 10-K· source
Net debt reduced 28.8% YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
Share count declined 0.6% YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
Strong ROE (19.4%)
10-Q + 10-K· source
Profitable (11.1% net margin)
10-Q + 10-K· source
Forward P/E 11.5 (reasonable)
Sector comps + FMP· source
Technicals1 input
Latest day's short ratio 29.6% (13.6pp below 20d baseline)
Price + volume· source
Macro12 inputs
VIX 16.6 (mild) as of 2026-07-01
Macro composite· source
10y-2y spread 35bps (flattish) as of 2026-07-02
Macro composite· source
Industrial Production 102.6 (mild expansion) as of 2026-05-01
Macro composite· source
Initial claims 215,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 1.01, neutral)
Macro composite· source
CPI YoY 4.27% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
HY OAS 2.74pp at 21th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
Non-farm payrolls 0.32% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
Retail sales 6.88% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 44.8 (weak) as of 2026-05-01
Macro composite· source
10y-3m spread 67bps (positive) as of 2026-07-02
Macro composite· source
8/11 sectors leading SPY by >=1pp over 20d (broad-based uptrend)
ETF flows + sector data· source
Equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) +4.0pp vs SPY, Russell 2000 (IWM) +4.7pp vs SPY (broad participation)
ETF flows + sector data· source
Result checks
- 7D
- 15D
- 30D
- 60D
- 90D
- 120D
- 180D
- 1Y
Call timingSaved record, target window, and result checks
- Target
- +5% to +6%
- Type
- Volatility-fitted
- Saved
- Jul 3, 2026
- Hold
- 30D
ExpandCollapse
Call timing
Saved record, target window, and result checks
- Target
- +5% to +6%
- Type
- Volatility-fitted
- Saved
- Jul 3, 2026
- Hold
- 30D
- Target
- +5% to +6%
- Type
- Volatility-fitted
- Saved
- Jul 3, 2026
- Entry
- $142.8
- Window
- 30D
Day 0of 30
AlphaYou measures this call against SPY at fixed checkpoints. Wins and misses stay visible on the public record.
Volatility-fitted target. This call used per-stock volatility inputs when it was saved. Entry $142.8, latest close $139.2, target $149.9-$151.3.
Next check: 7D in 7D
Audit trail
Active · step 3 of 6- Detected
- Verified
- Active
- Cooling
- Resolved
- Measured
Proof
Call saved on Bitcoin blockchain.
When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, reasons, target range, price, and time so the record can be checked later.
Call saved on Bitcoin block 956482.
Saved record code
50ee7b4cc8a62317a1165369744011e51577c2e2bc352c1578e535320795fe32
- Saved time
- 2026-07-03 08:11 UTC
- Ticker
- AFG
- Direction
- Long
- Issued price
- $142.8
- Bitcoin block
- 956482