Smart-money signal on AFRM this 14d.
Start with the four driver buckets, then open each section for the source-level detail behind the call.
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC increased position ($186.5M) (+874%)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $270K (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Lone Pine Capital LLC holds $284.1M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
American Funds Insurance Series holds $267.6M (NPORT-P 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
Balyasny Asset Management LP holds $52.7M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Capital Group Equity ETF Trust I holds $9.2M (NPORT-P 2026-02-28)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
short-volume tape softening: latest 40.6% fell 9.8pp vs 20d avg 50.4%
FINRA short interest· source
Latest day's short ratio 40.6% (9.8pp below 20d baseline)
Price + volume· source
VIX 16.6 (mild) as of 2026-07-01
Macro composite· source
10y-2y spread 35bps (flattish) as of 2026-07-02
Macro composite· source
Industrial Production 102.6 (mild expansion) as of 2026-05-01
Macro composite· source
Initial claims 215,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 1.01, neutral)
Macro composite· source
CPI YoY 4.27% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
HY OAS 2.74pp at 21th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
Non-farm payrolls 0.32% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
Retail sales 6.88% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 44.8 (weak) as of 2026-05-01
Macro composite· source
10y-3m spread 67bps (positive) as of 2026-07-02
Macro composite· source
8/11 sectors leading SPY by >=1pp over 20d (broad-based uptrend)
ETF flows + sector data· source
Equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) +4.0pp vs SPY, Russell 2000 (IWM) +4.7pp vs SPY (broad participation)
ETF flows + sector data· source
AlphaYou measures this call against SPY at fixed checkpoints. Wins and misses stay visible on the public record.
Volatility-fitted target. This call used per-stock volatility inputs when it was saved. Entry $84.6, latest close $79.5, target $99.0-$102.3.
Next check: 7D in 7D
When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, reasons, target range, price, and time so the record can be checked later.
Call saved on Bitcoin block 956482.