C-suite + 1 other insiders bought $133K of PATK this 14d.
Every call here cleared our publish bar - a real smart-money buyer plus at least two confirmations - before the result. We track every win and miss in public.
The score comes from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Open each section to see the source behind the reason.
President - Marine Petkovich Jacob R bought $124K
SEC EDGAR Form 4· source
Director WELCH M SCOTT bought $8K
SEC EDGAR Form 4· source
Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $8.8M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
American Funds Insurance Series holds $10.4M (NPORT-P 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
Janus Detroit Street Trust (active ETFs) holds $2.7M (NPORT-P 2026-01-31)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $413.4M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
short-volume tape softening: latest 44.0% fell 18.0pp vs 20d avg 62.0%
FINRA short interest· source
Forward P/E 18.6 (reasonable)
Sector comps + FMP· source
VIX 19.5 (mild) as of 2026-06-23
Macro composite· source
10y-2y spread 30bps (flattish) as of 2026-06-24
Macro composite· source
Industrial Production 102.6 (mild expansion) as of 2026-05-01
Macro composite· source
Initial claims 226,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 1.07, neutral)
Macro composite· source
CPI YoY 4.27% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
HY OAS 2.71pp at 11th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
Non-farm payrolls 0.32% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
Retail sales 6.88% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 49.8 (weak) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
10y-3m spread 56bps (positive) as of 2026-06-24
Macro composite· source
8/11 sectors leading SPY by >=1pp over 20d (broad-based uptrend)
ETF flows + sector data· source
Equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) +3.6pp vs SPY, Russell 2000 (IWM) +4.4pp vs SPY (broad participation)
ETF flows + sector data· source
Speculator (leveraged-money) net short on E-MINI S&P 500 at 1.9th percentile vs trailing 52w (extreme bearish positioning, mean-reversion bullish) as of 2026-06-16
Macro composite· source
You can still check when this call was saved below. It is not counted in the main win/loss scorecard.
When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, score, reasons, target range, price, and time. The code on the right lets anyone check that the saved record was not changed later.
Saved on Bitcoin block 955321.