Smart-money signal on GOOG this 14d.
Every call here cleared our publish bar - a real smart-money buyer plus at least two confirmations - before the result. We track every win and miss in public.
The score comes from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Open each section to see the source behind the reason.
ARK ETF Trust [ARK Innovation ETF] increased position ($95.7M) (+142%)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
ARK ETF Trust [ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF] increased position ($97.6M) (+69%)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
Berkshire Hathaway Inc holds $1.0B (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
ARK Investment Management LLC holds $206.7M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Pershing Square Capital Management LP holds $89.4M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $32.0M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Janus Investment Fund (legacy active) holds $1.7B (NPORT-P 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
Pending dilution: 1 S-3/S-8 shelf in trailing 90d
SEC EDGAR dilution filings
Revenue growth 21.8% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)
Earnings releases (8-K)· source
Operating margin expanded 220bps YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
Share count declined 0.4% YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
Strong ROE (38.9%)
10-Q + 10-K· source
Profitable (37.9% net margin)
10-Q + 10-K· source
Forward P/E 26.0 (reasonable)
Sector comps + FMP· source
Analyst target $426.62 >5% above 52w high
Earnings releases (8-K)· source
VIX 16.8 (mild) as of 2026-06-19
Macro composite· source
10y-2y spread 27bps (flattish) as of 2026-06-22
Macro composite· source
Industrial Production 102.6 (mild expansion) as of 2026-05-01
Macro composite· source
Initial claims 226,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 1.07, neutral)
Macro composite· source
CPI YoY 4.27% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
HY OAS 2.66pp at 4th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
Non-farm payrolls 0.32% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
Retail sales 6.88% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 49.8 (weak) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
10y-3m spread 66bps (positive) as of 2026-06-22
Macro composite· source
5/11 sectors leading SPY by >=1pp over 20d (broad-based uptrend)
ETF flows + sector data· source
Equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) +2.2pp vs SPY, Russell 2000 (IWM) +5.3pp vs SPY (broad participation)
ETF flows + sector data· source
Speculator (leveraged-money) net short on E-MINI S&P 500 at 1.9th percentile vs trailing 52w (extreme bearish positioning, mean-reversion bullish) as of 2026-06-16
Macro composite· source
We group 1 same-day call into one public result, so wins and misses cannot be cherry-picked. The source links below show what the call was based on.
NPORT-P
When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, score, reasons, target range, price, and time. The code on the right lets anyone check that the saved record was not changed later.
Saved on Bitcoin block 955038.