Smart-money signal on SO this 14d.
Every call here cleared our publish bar - a real smart-money buyer plus at least two confirmations - before the result. We track every win and miss in public.
The score comes from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Open each section to see the source behind the reason.
JANUS INVESTMENT FUND [Janus Henderson Balanced Fund] opened position ($82.1M)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $132.0M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
American Funds Insurance Series holds $131.1M (NPORT-P 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
Citadel Advisors LLC holds $34.2M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Two Sigma Investments LP holds $15.1M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $2.0B (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
short-volume tape softening: latest 48.8% fell 16.2pp vs 20d avg 65.0%
FINRA short interest· source
Latest day's short ratio 48.8% (16.2pp below 20d baseline)
Price + volume· source
VIX 16.4 (mild) as of 2026-06-16
Macro composite· source
10y-2y spread 38bps (flattish) as of 2026-06-16
Macro composite· source
Industrial Production 102.6 (mild expansion) as of 2026-05-01
Macro composite· source
Initial claims 229,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 1.08, neutral)
Macro composite· source
CPI YoY 4.27% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
HY OAS 2.71pp at 6th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
Non-farm payrolls 0.32% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
Retail sales 6.88% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 49.8 (weak) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
10y-3m spread 64bps (positive) as of 2026-06-16
Macro composite· source
6/11 sectors leading SPY by >=1pp over 20d (broad-based uptrend)
ETF flows + sector data· source
Equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) +3.0pp vs SPY, Russell 2000 (IWM) +4.3pp vs SPY (broad participation)
ETF flows + sector data· source
We group 1 same-day call into one public result, so wins and misses cannot be cherry-picked. The source links below show what the call was based on.
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P
FILING NPORT P FUND FLOW · 2026-05-29· source
NPORT-P
When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, score, reasons, target range, price, and time. The code on the right lets anyone check that the saved record was not changed later.
Saved on Bitcoin block 954124.