Smart-money signal on TEL this 14d.
Every call here cleared our publish bar - a real smart-money buyer plus at least two confirmations - before the result. We track every win and miss in public.
The score comes from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Open each section to see the source behind the reason.
Revenue growth 14.5% YoY (period end 2026-03-27)
Earnings releases (8-K)· source
Operating margin expanded 206bps YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
Strong ROE (22.7%)
10-Q + 10-K· source
Profitable (15.5% net margin)
10-Q + 10-K· source
Forward P/E 17.0 (reasonable)
Sector comps + FMP· source
Consensus EPS estimate revised up 0.0% over 30d (fiscal quarter, 2026-06-30)
Earnings calendar· source
Analyst EPS revisions net positive over 30d (12 net revisions)
Earnings calendar· source
Latest day's short ratio 27.1% (11.2pp below 20d baseline)
Price + volume· source
VIX 16.4 (mild) as of 2026-06-16
Macro composite· source
10y-2y spread 38bps (flattish) as of 2026-06-16
Macro composite· source
Industrial Production 102.6 (mild expansion) as of 2026-05-01
Macro composite· source
Initial claims 229,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 1.08, neutral)
Macro composite· source
CPI YoY 4.27% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
HY OAS 2.71pp at 6th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
Non-farm payrolls 0.32% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
Retail sales 6.88% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 49.8 (weak) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
10y-3m spread 64bps (positive) as of 2026-06-16
Macro composite· source
6/11 sectors leading SPY by >=1pp over 20d (broad-based uptrend)
ETF flows + sector data· source
Equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) +3.0pp vs SPY, Russell 2000 (IWM) +4.3pp vs SPY (broad participation)
ETF flows + sector data· source
We group 1 same-day call into one public result, so wins and misses cannot be cherry-picked. The source links below show what the call was based on.
house-clerk-ptr-pdf
CONGRESSIONAL TRADE · 2026-06-08· source
Congress
When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, score, reasons, target range, price, and time. The code on the right lets anyone check that the saved record was not changed later.
Saved on Bitcoin block 954124.