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SMMT

LongInsider Buy

C-suite insider bought $50.0M of SMMT this 14d.

saved·e332c231ee86
Status
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Result so far
+0.0%edge vs SPY
Day 0 of 30
Tracking to 30D
SMMT call
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
AlphaYou score
21
Public call
internal bandWeak

Higher means the call has more support from the data we track.

Target move
+5% to +15%
by 30D from when the call was saved
Saved
Date
Jun 12, 2026
Price
$13.08
Time
30D
Time passed
Day 0of 30
Next result check: 7D in 7D
Result checks
7 checks after the call
  1. 7D+7D
  2. 15D+15D
  3. 30D+30D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each check, we record what happened. We do not rewrite old calls.

Why this call?

12 reasons went into this score.

The score comes from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Open each section to see the source behind the reason.

Smart money
15 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
0 / 35
Technicals
2 / 15
Macro
4 / 10
Smart money15 / 40

  • Co-Chief Executive Officer DUGGAN ROBERT W bought $50.0M

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +149961600

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $43.3M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $18.6M (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $233.7M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3

  • short-volume tape softening: latest 41.9% fell 19.0pp vs 20d avg 60.9%

    FINRA short interest· source

    +2
Fund. & Earn.0 / 35

  • Forward P/E 3.7 (reasonable)

    Sector comps + FMP· source

    +2

  • Negative ROE (-270.9%) - capital destruction

    10-K + bond filings· source

    -3
Technicals2 / 15

  • RSI(14) 30.4 (mild, room above)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • Latest day's short ratio 41.9% (19.0pp below 20d baseline)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
Macro4 / 10

  • 6/11 sectors leading SPY by >=1pp over 20d (broad-based uptrend)

    ETF flows + sector data· source

    +2

  • Equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) +4.0pp vs SPY, Russell 2000 (IWM) +3.4pp vs SPY (broad participation)

    ETF flows + sector data· source

    +1

  • Speculator (leveraged-money) net short on E-MINI S&P 500 at 1.9th percentile vs trailing 52w (extreme bearish positioning, mean-reversion bullish) as of 2026-06-02

    Macro composite· source

    +1
Public record

Source links complete.

We group 2 same-day calls into one public result, so wins and misses cannot be cherry-picked. The source links below show what the call was based on.

100.0%
linked
2
events
1
sources
2
calls
Source links2 / 2
SEC EDGAR Form 42/2 linked
Latest source items

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-06-12· source

    raw linked

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-06-12· source

    raw linked
Past source results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call
SEC EDGAR Form 4+2.08%
D7
+2.08%
178 calls · 62% hit
D15
+2.76%
118 calls · 65% hit
D30
+2.97%
9 calls · 56% hit
Past person or fund results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call
DUGGAN ROBERT W

Insider

+7.68%
D7
+7.68%
1 calls · 100% hit
D15
+27.90%
1 calls · 100% hit
D30
n/a
Can you check it?

Saved on Bitcoin.

When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, score, reasons, target range, price, and time. The code on the right lets anyone check that the saved record was not changed later.

Download proof fileHow this works

Saved on Bitcoin block 953401.

Saved record code
e332c231ee86bffdd320aea27f134f6f2fa4e6417eca4ff02629379b64c00aea
Saved time
2026-06-12 16:47 UTC
Ticker
SMMT
Direction
Long
Issued price
$13.08
Bitcoin block
953401