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SMMT

LongInsider Buy

C-suite insider bought $50.0M of SMMT this 14d.

saved·e332c231ee86·2026-06-12 16:47 UTC
Result so far
+9.3%vs SPY · this call
Day 20 of 30
Tracking to 30D
0%5%10%15.2%D0D8D15D23D30
SMMT call
SPY benchmark
This is one call - see every call vs the SPY
Target move
+5% to +15%
by 30D from when the call was saved
Baseline band: this call was saved before per-stock volatility targets shipped (Jun 29, 2026), so it uses AlphaYou's standard band. Newer calls carry stock-specific targets.
Saved
Date
Jun 12, 2026
Price
$13.08
Time
30D
Time passed
Day 20of 30
Next result check: 30D in 10D
Why this call?

12 source inputs support this call.

Start with the four driver buckets, then open each section for the source-level detail behind the call.

Smart MoneyMultiple inputs5 inputs
DriverCo-Chief Executive Officer DUGGAN ROBERT W bought $50.0M
FundamentalsSupporting inputs2 inputs
DriverForward P/E 3.7 (reasonable)
TechnicalsSupporting inputs2 inputs
DriverRSI(14) 30.4 (mild, room above)
MacroSupporting inputs3 inputs
Driver6/11 sectors leading SPY by >=1pp over 20d (broad-based uptrend)
Smart Money5 inputs
  • CE

    Co-Chief Executive Officer DUGGAN ROBERT W bought $50.0M

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

  • Citadel

    Citadel Advisors LLC holds $43.3M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

  • Two Sigma

    Two Sigma Investments LP holds $18.6M (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

  • FL

    FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $233.7M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

  • SM

    short-volume tape softening: latest 41.9% fell 19.0pp vs 20d avg 60.9%

    FINRA short interest· source

Fundamentals2 inputs
  • Forward P/E 3.7 (reasonable)

    Sector comps + FMP· source

  • Negative ROE (-270.9%) - capital destruction

    10-K + bond filings· source

Technicals2 inputs
  • RSI(14) 30.4 (mild, room above)

    Price + volume· source

  • Latest day's short ratio 41.9% (19.0pp below 20d baseline)

    Price + volume· source

Macro3 inputs
  • 6/11 sectors leading SPY by >=1pp over 20d (broad-based uptrend)

    ETF flows + sector data· source

  • Equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) +4.0pp vs SPY, Russell 2000 (IWM) +3.4pp vs SPY (broad participation)

    ETF flows + sector data· source

  • Speculator (leveraged-money) net short on E-MINI S&P 500 at 1.9th percentile vs trailing 52w (extreme bearish positioning, mean-reversion bullish) as of 2026-06-02

    Macro composite· source

Result checks
  1. 7D
  2. 15D
  3. 30D
  4. 60D
  5. 90D
  6. 120D
  7. 180D
  8. 1Y
recorded at each check · never rewritten
Public record

Source links complete.

We group 2 same-day calls into one public result, so wins and misses cannot be cherry-picked. The source links below show what the call was based on.

100.0%
linked
2
events
1
sources
2
calls
Source links2 / 2
SEC EDGAR Form 42/2 linked
Latest source items
  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-06-12· source

    raw linked
  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-06-12· source

    raw linked
Past source results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call
SEC EDGAR Form 4+1.95%
D7
+1.95%
222 calls · 62% hit
D15
+2.93%
221 calls · 68% hit
D30
+4.75%
163 calls · 71% hit
Past person or fund results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call
DUGGAN ROBERT W

Insider

+0.76%
D7
+0.76%
2 calls · 50% hit
D15
+11.47%
2 calls · 50% hit
D30
+40.99%
1 calls · 100% hit
Zanganeh Mahkam

Insider

-6.16%
D7
-6.16%
1 calls · 0% hit
D15
-4.96%
1 calls · 0% hit
D30
n/a
Call timing

Saved record, target window, and result checks

Target
+5% to +15%
Saved
Jun 12, 2026
Hold
30D
ExpandCollapse
Target
+5% to +15%
Saved
Jun 12, 2026
Entry
$13.08
Window
30D
Day 20of 30

AlphaYou measures this call against SPY at fixed checkpoints. Wins and misses stay visible on the public record.

Next check: 30D in 10D

Audit trail
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Measured
View track record vs SPY
Proof

Call saved on Bitcoin blockchain.

When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, reasons, target range, price, and time so the record can be checked later.

Verify receiptDownload proof fileHow this works

Call saved on Bitcoin block 953401.

Saved record code
e332c231ee86bffdd320aea27f134f6f2fa4e6417eca4ff02629379b64c00aea
Saved time
2026-06-12 16:47 UTC
Ticker
SMMT
Direction
Long
Issued price
$13.08
Bitcoin block
953401
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