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SFD

LongInsider Cluster

Smart-money signal on SFD this 14d.

saved·e2ec488d475f
Status
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Result so far
+5.4%edge vs SPY
Day 10 of 30
Tracking to 30D
SFD call
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
AlphaYou score
14
Public call
internal bandWeak

Higher means the call has more support from the data we track.

Target move
+5% to +15%
by 30D from when the call was saved
Saved
Date
Jun 2, 2026
Price
$26.03
Time
30D
Time passed
Day 10of 30
Next result check: 15D in 5D
Result checks
7 checks after the call
  1. 7DChecked
  2. 15D+5D
  3. 30D+20D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each check, we record what happened. We do not rewrite old calls.

Why this call?

21 reasons went into this score.

The score comes from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Open each section to see the source behind the reason.

Smart money
7 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
4 / 35
Technicals
0 / 15
Macro
3.3 / 10
Smart money7 / 40

  • TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP increased position ($117.9M) (+201%)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $4.7M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $8.1M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $61.5M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3

  • Bridgewater Associates LP holds $8.7M (13F 2025-09-30)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3

  • short-volume tape softening: latest 47.9% fell 6.7pp vs 19d avg 54.6%

    FINRA short interest· source

    +1

  • Short interest fell -19.5% as of 2026-04-30 (twice-monthly FINRA)

    FINRA short interest· source

    +1
Fund. & Earn.4 / 35

  • Profitable (6.5% net margin)

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +1

  • Forward P/E 10.2 (reasonable)

    Sector comps + FMP· source

    +2

  • Analyst target $31.36 >5% above 52w high

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +1
Technicals0 / 15
    Macro3.3 / 10

    • VIX 15.3 (low volatility) as of 2026-05-29

      Macro composite· source

      +15.3

    • 10y-2y spread 47bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-29

      Macro composite· source

      +0.47

    • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

      Macro composite· source

      +102.5

    • Initial claims 215,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 1.01, neutral)

      Macro composite· source

      +1.01

    • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

      Macro composite· source

      +3.95

    • HY OAS 2.74pp at 8th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

      Macro composite· source

      +2.74

    • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

      Macro composite· source

      +0.16

    • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

      Macro composite· source

      +4.87

    • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 49.8 (weak) as of 2026-04-01

      Macro composite· source

      +49.8

    • 10y-3m spread 76bps (positive) as of 2026-05-29

      Macro composite· source

      +0.76

    • Net liquidity (Fed assets - reverse repo - TGA) +$156B over 4 weeks (rising)

      Macro composite· source

      +1
    Public record

    Source links complete.

    We group 1 same-day call into one public result, so wins and misses cannot be cherry-picked. The source links below show what the call was based on.

    100.0%
    linked
    1
    event
    1
    sources
    1
    calls
    Source links1 / 1
    SEC EDGAR 13F1/1 linked
    Latest source items

    • SEC EDGAR 13F

      FILING 13F FUND FLOW · 2026-05-15· source

      raw linked
    Past source results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call
    SEC EDGAR 13F+1.11%
    D7
    +1.11%
    168 calls · 60% hit
    D15
    +0.68%
    116 calls · 53% hit
    D30
    n/a
    Past person or fund results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call
    TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP

    13F filer

    +1.33%
    D7
    +1.33%
    145 calls · 62% hit
    D15
    +0.81%
    100 calls · 54% hit
    D30
    n/a
    Can you check it?

    Save proof queued.

    When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, score, reasons, target range, price, and time. The code on the right lets anyone check that the saved record was not changed later.

    How this works

    Save is queued. Refresh in a moment to see the proof file.

    Saved record code
    e2ec488d475f2e83e76a9222717924e487e43a800fefc021eeb8e886bac75108
    Saved time
    2026-06-02 01:36 UTC
    Ticker
    SFD
    Direction
    Long
    Issued price
    $26.03
    Bitcoin block
    Queued