Smart-money signal on SFD this 14d.
Start with the four driver buckets, then open each section for the source-level detail behind the call.
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP increased position ($117.9M) (+201%)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $4.7M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Citadel Advisors LLC holds $8.1M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $61.5M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Bridgewater Associates LP holds $8.7M (13F 2025-09-30)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
short-volume tape softening: latest 47.9% fell 6.7pp vs 19d avg 54.6%
FINRA short interest· source
Short interest fell -19.5% as of 2026-04-30 (twice-monthly FINRA)
FINRA short interest· source
VIX 15.3 (low volatility) as of 2026-05-29
Macro composite· source
10y-2y spread 47bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-29
Macro composite· source
Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
Initial claims 215,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 1.01, neutral)
Macro composite· source
CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
HY OAS 2.74pp at 8th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 49.8 (weak) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
10y-3m spread 76bps (positive) as of 2026-05-29
Macro composite· source
Net liquidity (Fed assets - reverse repo - TGA) +$156B over 4 weeks (rising)
Macro composite· source
We group 1 same-day call into one public result, so wins and misses cannot be cherry-picked. The source links below show what the call was based on.
SEC EDGAR 13F
FILING 13F FUND FLOW · 2026-05-15· source
13F filer
AlphaYou measures this call against SPY at fixed checkpoints. Wins and misses stay visible on the public record.
Next check: 30D today
When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, reasons, target range, price, and time so the record can be checked later.
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