Smart-money signal on MLM this 14d.
Every call here cleared our publish bar - a real smart-money buyer plus at least two confirmations - before the result. We track every win and miss in public.
The score comes from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Open each section to see the source behind the reason.
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP increased position ($55.5M) (+575%)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Fidelity Magellan Fund holds $465.3M (NPORT-P 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
Citadel Advisors LLC holds $55.4M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Janus Investment Fund (legacy active) holds $26.7M (NPORT-P 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $1.8B (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
short-volume tape softening: latest 49.7% fell 12.9pp vs 18d avg 62.6%
FINRA short interest· source
Short interest fell -14.2% as of 2026-04-30 (twice-monthly FINRA)
FINRA short interest· source
Pending dilution: 1 S-3/S-8 shelf in trailing 90d
SEC EDGAR dilution filings
Latest day's short ratio 49.7% (12.9pp below 18d baseline)
Price + volume· source
VIX 15.3 (low volatility) as of 2026-05-29
Macro composite· source
10y-2y spread 47bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-29
Macro composite· source
Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
Initial claims 215,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 1.01, neutral)
Macro composite· source
CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
HY OAS 2.74pp at 8th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 49.8 (weak) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
10y-3m spread 76bps (positive) as of 2026-05-29
Macro composite· source
Net liquidity (Fed assets - reverse repo - TGA) +$156B over 4 weeks (rising)
Macro composite· source
We group 1 same-day call into one public result, so wins and misses cannot be cherry-picked. The source links below show what the call was based on.
SEC EDGAR 13F
FILING 13F FUND FLOW · 2026-05-15· source
13F filer
When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, score, reasons, target range, price, and time. The code on the right lets anyone check that the saved record was not changed later.
Saved on Bitcoin block 952027.