AlphaYou
AMAT
LongInsider ClusterSmart-money signal on AMAT this 14d.
Result so far
+56.1%vs SPY · this call
Day 34 of 30
Tracking to 30D
AMAT call
SPY benchmark
Target move
+5% to +15%
by 30D from when the call was saved
Baseline band: this call was saved before per-stock volatility targets shipped (Jun 29, 2026), so it uses AlphaYou's standard band. Newer calls carry stock-specific targets.
Saved
- Date
- May 29, 2026
- Price
- $450.06
- Time
- 30D
Time passed
Day 34of 30
Why this call?
30 source inputs support this call.
Start with the four driver buckets, then open each section for the source-level detail behind the call.
Smart MoneyMultiple inputs6 inputs
DriverJANUS INVESTMENT FUND [Janus Henderson Research Fund] opened position ($134.2M)
FundamentalsMultiple inputs9 inputs
DriverRevenue growth 11.4% YoY (period end 2026-04-26)
TechnicalsMultiple inputs4 inputs
DriverMACD histogram 0.915 (positive)
MacroMultiple inputs11 inputs
DriverVIX 15.7 (low volatility) as of 2026-05-28
Smart Money6 inputs
- JI
JANUS INVESTMENT FUND [Janus Henderson Research Fund] opened position ($134.2M)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
Tiger Global Management LLC holds $566.3M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
D. E. Shaw & Co Inc holds $1.8B (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
- AF
American Funds Insurance Series holds $867.6M (NPORT-P 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
Citadel Advisors LLC holds $636.1M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Two Sigma Investments LP holds $151.6M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Fundamentals9 inputs
Revenue growth 11.4% YoY (period end 2026-04-26)
Earnings releases (8-K)· source
Operating margin expanded 135bps YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
Net debt reduced 33.0% YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
Share count declined 2.0% YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
Strong ROE (39.7%)
10-Q + 10-K· source
Profitable (29.3% net margin)
10-Q + 10-K· source
Analyst target $510.77 >5% above 52w high
Earnings releases (8-K)· source
Consensus EPS estimate revised up 17.7% over 30d (fiscal quarter, 2026-07-31)
Earnings calendar· source
Analyst EPS revisions net positive over 30d (25 net revisions)
Earnings calendar· source
Technicals4 inputs
MACD histogram 0.915 (positive)
Price + volume· source
EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)
Price + volume· source
Multi-timeframe partial confluence (2-of-3, no opposing) (1d=LONG, 1w=LONG, 1m=NEUTRAL)
Price + volume· source
Call-side volume/open-interest pressure (40 call contracts >=1x OI ratio)
OPRA options flow· source
Macro11 inputs
VIX 15.7 (low volatility) as of 2026-05-28
Macro composite· source
10y-2y spread 46bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-28
Macro composite· source
Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
Initial claims 215,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 1.01, neutral)
Macro composite· source
CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
HY OAS 2.72pp at 6th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 49.8 (weak) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
10y-3m spread 76bps (positive) as of 2026-05-28
Macro composite· source
Net liquidity (Fed assets - reverse repo - TGA) +$145B over 4 weeks (rising)
Macro composite· source
Result checks
- 7D
- 15D
- 30D
- 60D
- 90D
- 120D
- 180D
- 1Y
Public record
Source links complete.
We group 1 same-day call into one public result, so wins and misses cannot be cherry-picked. The source links below show what the call was based on.
100.0%
linked
1
event
1
sources
1
calls
Source links1 / 1
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P1/1 linked
Latest source items
- raw linked
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P
FILING NPORT P FUND FLOW · 2026-05-29· source
Past source results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P+3.48%
D7
+3.48%
12 calls · 67% hit
D15
+5.99%
12 calls · 67% hit
D30
+6.49%
12 calls · 75% hit
Past person or fund results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call
No older results for this person or fund yet.
Call timingSaved record, target window, and result checks
- Target
- +5% to +15%
- Saved
- May 29, 2026
- Hold
- 30D
ExpandCollapse
Call timing
Saved record, target window, and result checks
- Target
- +5% to +15%
- Saved
- May 29, 2026
- Hold
- 30D
- Target
- +5% to +15%
- Saved
- May 29, 2026
- Entry
- $450.06
- Window
- 30D
Day 34of 30
AlphaYou measures this call against SPY at fixed checkpoints. Wins and misses stay visible on the public record.
Audit trail
Cooling · step 4 of 6- Detected
- Verified
- Active
- Cooling
- Resolved
- Measured
Proof
Call saved on Bitcoin blockchain.
When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, reasons, target range, price, and time so the record can be checked later.
Call saved on Bitcoin block 951614.
Saved record code
90c43d800904836149cfd26a71ad0b5aebe1449ddd2d77b6b8e9167b145f8ec4
- Saved time
- 2026-05-29 20:20 UTC
- Ticker
- AMAT
- Direction
- Long
- Issued price
- $450.06
- Bitcoin block
- 951614