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AMAT

LongInsider Cluster

Smart-money signal on AMAT this 14d.

saved·90c43d800904
Status
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Result so far
+3.2%edge vs SPY
Day 14 of 30
Tracking to 30D
AMAT call
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
AlphaYou score
28
Public call
internal bandModerate

Higher means the call has more support from the data we track.

Target move
+5% to +15%
by 30D from when the call was saved
Saved
Date
May 29, 2026
Price
$450.06
Time
30D
Time passed
Day 14of 30
Next result check: 15D in 1D
Result checks
7 checks after the call
  1. 7DChecked
  2. 15D+1D
  3. 30D+16D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each check, we record what happened. We do not rewrite old calls.

Why this call?

30 reasons went into this score.

The score comes from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Open each section to see the source behind the reason.

Smart money
5 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
14.9 / 35
Technicals
5 / 15
Macro
3.3 / 10
Smart money5 / 40

  • JANUS INVESTMENT FUND [Janus Henderson Research Fund] opened position ($134.2M)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4

  • Tiger Global Management LLC holds $566.3M (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • D. E. Shaw & Co Inc holds $1.8B (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • American Funds Insurance Series holds $867.6M (NPORT-P 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $636.1M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $151.6M (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4
Fund. & Earn.14.9 / 35

  • Revenue growth 11.4% YoY (period end 2026-04-26)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +1.4

  • Operating margin expanded 135bps YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +2

  • Net debt reduced 33.0% YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +2

  • Share count declined 2.0% YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +0.8

  • Strong ROE (39.7%)

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +2

  • Profitable (29.3% net margin)

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +2

  • Analyst target $510.77 >5% above 52w high

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +1

  • Consensus EPS estimate revised up 17.7% over 30d (fiscal quarter, 2026-07-31)

    Earnings calendar· source

    +2

  • Analyst EPS revisions net positive over 30d (25 net revisions)

    Earnings calendar· source

    +1.7
Technicals5 / 15

  • MACD histogram 0.915 (positive)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • Multi-timeframe partial confluence (2-of-3, no opposing) (1d=LONG, 1w=LONG, 1m=NEUTRAL)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • Call-side volume/open-interest pressure (40 call contracts >=1x OI ratio)

    OPRA options flow· source

    +2
Macro3.3 / 10

  • VIX 15.7 (low volatility) as of 2026-05-28

    Macro composite· source

    +15.7

  • 10y-2y spread 46bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-28

    Macro composite· source

    +0.46

  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5

  • Initial claims 215,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 1.01, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +1.01

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.72pp at 6th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.72

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 49.8 (weak) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +49.8

  • 10y-3m spread 76bps (positive) as of 2026-05-28

    Macro composite· source

    +0.76

  • Net liquidity (Fed assets - reverse repo - TGA) +$145B over 4 weeks (rising)

    Macro composite· source

    +1
Public record

Source links complete.

We group 1 same-day call into one public result, so wins and misses cannot be cherry-picked. The source links below show what the call was based on.

100.0%
linked
1
event
1
sources
1
calls
Source links1 / 1
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P1/1 linked
Latest source items

  • SEC EDGAR NPORT-P

    FILING NPORT P FUND FLOW · 2026-05-29· source

    raw linked
Past source results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P+3.48%
D7
+3.48%
12 calls · 67% hit
D15
+5.75%
5 calls · 60% hit
D30
-10.02%
1 calls · 0% hit
Past person or fund results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call

No older results for this person or fund yet.

Can you check it?

Saved on Bitcoin.

When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, score, reasons, target range, price, and time. The code on the right lets anyone check that the saved record was not changed later.

Download proof fileHow this works

Saved on Bitcoin block 951614.

Saved record code
90c43d800904836149cfd26a71ad0b5aebe1449ddd2d77b6b8e9167b145f8ec4
Saved time
2026-05-29 20:20 UTC
Ticker
AMAT
Direction
Long
Issued price
$450.06
Bitcoin block
951614