Smart-money signal on ARES this 14d.
Every call here cleared our publish bar - a real smart-money buyer plus at least two confirmations - before the result. We track every win and miss in public.
The score comes from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Open each section to see the source behind the reason.
JANUS INVESTMENT FUND [Janus Henderson Global Research Fund] increased position ($31.5M) (+80%)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
Fidelity Magellan Fund holds $470.5M (NPORT-P 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
American Funds Insurance Series holds $136.6M (NPORT-P 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
Citadel Advisors LLC holds $92.7M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Janus Detroit Street Trust (active ETFs) holds $207K (NPORT-P 2026-01-31)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $1.3B (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Revenue growth 40.8% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)
Earnings releases (8-K)· source
Operating margin expanded 1696bps YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
Profitable (10.5% net margin)
10-Q + 10-K· source
Forward P/E 20.7 (reasonable)
Sector comps + FMP· source
Analyst EPS revisions net positive over 30d (3 net revisions)
Earnings calendar· source
VIX 15.7 (low volatility) as of 2026-05-28
Macro composite· source
10y-2y spread 46bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-28
Macro composite· source
Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
Initial claims 215,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 1.01, neutral)
Macro composite· source
CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
HY OAS 2.72pp at 6th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 49.8 (weak) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
10y-3m spread 76bps (positive) as of 2026-05-28
Macro composite· source
Net liquidity (Fed assets - reverse repo - TGA) +$145B over 4 weeks (rising)
Macro composite· source
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Saved on Bitcoin block 951614.