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CTVA

LongInsider Cluster

Smart-money signal on CTVA this 14d.

saved·390ab5713435
Status
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Result so far
-0.8%edge vs SPY
Day 15 of 30
Tracking to 30D
CTVA call
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
AlphaYou score
20
Public call
internal bandWeak

Higher means the call has more support from the data we track.

Target move
+5% to +15%
by 30D from when the call was saved
Saved
Date
May 28, 2026
Price
$79.89
Time
30D
Time passed
Day 15of 30
Next result check: 15D today
Result checks
7 checks after the call
  1. 7DChecked
  2. 15DChecked
  3. 30D+15D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each check, we record what happened. We do not rewrite old calls.

Why this call?

25 reasons went into this score.

The score comes from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Open each section to see the source behind the reason.

Smart money
5 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
9.1 / 35
Technicals
3.3 / 15
Macro
3 / 10
Smart money5 / 40

  • AMERICAN FUNDS INSURANCE SERIES [Washington Mutual Investors Fund] increased position ($47.0M) (+116%)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4

  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $83.3M (13F 2025-09-30)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Janus Investment Fund (legacy active) holds $331.5M (NPORT-P 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $211.0M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $5.7M (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $1.9B (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3
Fund. & Earn.9.1 / 35

  • Revenue growth 11.0% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +1.3

  • Operating margin expanded 495bps YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +3

  • Net debt reduced 41.4% YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +2

  • Share count declined 1.9% YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +0.8

  • Profitable (6.5% net margin)

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +1

  • Forward P/E 22.8 (reasonable)

    Sector comps + FMP· source

    +1
Technicals3.3 / 15

  • Bullish options put/call skew (0.11 ratio)

    OPRA options flow· source

    +2

  • Call-side volume/open-interest pressure (1 call contracts >=1x OI ratio)

    OPRA options flow· source

    +1.3
Macro3 / 10

  • VIX 16.3 (mild) as of 2026-05-27

    Macro composite· source

    +16.3

  • 10y-2y spread 48bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-27

    Macro composite· source

    +0.48

  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5

  • Initial claims 215,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 1.01, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +1.01

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.71pp at 3th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.71

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 49.8 (weak) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +49.8

  • 10y-3m spread 80bps (positive) as of 2026-05-27

    Macro composite· source

    +0.8

  • Net liquidity (Fed assets - reverse repo - TGA) +$230B over 4 weeks (rising)

    Macro composite· source

    +1
Public record

Source links complete.

We group 1 same-day call into one public result, so wins and misses cannot be cherry-picked. The source links below show what the call was based on.

100.0%
linked
1
event
1
sources
1
calls
Source links1 / 1
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P1/1 linked
Latest source items

  • SEC EDGAR NPORT-P

    FILING NPORT P FUND FLOW · 2026-05-28· source

    raw linked
Past source results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P+3.02%
D7
+3.02%
8 calls · 63% hit
D15
+5.75%
5 calls · 60% hit
D30
-10.02%
1 calls · 0% hit
Past person or fund results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call

No older results for this person or fund yet.

Can you check it?

Saved on Bitcoin.

When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, score, reasons, target range, price, and time. The code on the right lets anyone check that the saved record was not changed later.

Download proof fileHow this works

Saved on Bitcoin block 951443.

Saved record code
390ab5713435977c2357fb4b58dcdab92029db786e6127219a3a6708f57a4c2a
Saved time
2026-05-28 17:39 UTC
Ticker
CTVA
Direction
Long
Issued price
$79.89
Bitcoin block
951443