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AAT

LongInsider Buy

Insider bought $227K of AAT this 14d.

verified·fea07a31b400
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+0.0%alpha vs SPY
Day 2 of 30
Tracking to 30D
AAT signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
15
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 28, 2026
Price
$22.53
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 2of 30
Next checkpoint: 7D in 5D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7D+5D
  2. 15D+13D
  3. 30D+28D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

22 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
7.3 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
0.2 / 35
Technicals
4 / 15
Macro
3 / 10
Smart money7.3 / 40

  • Executive Chairman RADY ERNEST S bought $227K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +453400

  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $2.1M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $10.0M (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $5.2M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $5.0M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3

  • short-volume tape softening: latest 56.7% fell 8.6pp vs 20d avg 65.3%

    FINRA short interest· source

    +1
Fund. & Earn.0.2 / 35

  • Revenue growth 1.8% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +0.2
Technicals4 / 15

  • MACD histogram 0.119 (positive)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • Multi-timeframe partial confluence (2-of-3, no opposing) (1d=LONG, 1w=LONG, 1m=NEUTRAL)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • Latest day's short ratio 56.7% (8.6pp below 20d baseline)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
Macro3 / 10

  • VIX 16.3 (mild) as of 2026-05-27

    Macro composite· source

    +16.3

  • 10y-2y spread 48bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-27

    Macro composite· source

    +0.48

  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5

  • Initial claims 215,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 1.01, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +1.01

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.71pp at 3th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.71

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 49.8 (weak) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +49.8

  • 10y-3m spread 80bps (positive) as of 2026-05-27

    Macro composite· source

    +0.8

  • Net liquidity (Fed assets - reverse repo - TGA) +$230B over 4 weeks (rising)

    Macro composite· source

    +1
Recommendation receipt

Source chain complete.

Recommendation cmppp04er0... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

100.0%
linked
1
event
1
sources
1
signals
Source coverage1 / 1
SEC EDGAR Form 41/1 linked
Latest source events

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-22· source

    raw linked
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
SEC EDGAR Form 4+2.22%
D7
+2.22%
n=92 · 66% hit
D15
+1.41%
n=28 · 61% hit
D30
n/a
Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
RADY ERNEST S

Insider

+5.42%
D7
+5.42%
n=2 · 100% hit
D15
n/a
D30
n/a
Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 951431.

Signal payload hash
fea07a31b400d3078b0effddf62b87fd6fe11cae9406b164822f49c1db4a4c87
Timestamp
2026-05-28 15:42 UTC
Ticker
AAT
Direction
Long
Issued price
$22.53
Bitcoin block
951431