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AMRZ

LongInsider Buy

Insider bought $101K of AMRZ this 14d.

verified·b3ddeb28e61e
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+0.0%alpha vs SPY
Day 2 of 30
Tracking to 30D
AMRZ signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
15
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 28, 2026
Price
$53.10
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 2of 30
Next checkpoint: 7D in 5D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7D+5D
  2. 15D+13D
  3. 30D+28D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

20 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
2.6 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
6.2 / 35
Technicals
3.5 / 15
Macro
3 / 10
Smart money2.6 / 40

  • Chief Mktg & Corp Affairs Off Forrest Nollaig bought $101K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +201000
Fund. & Earn.6.2 / 35

  • Revenue growth 4.7% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +0.6

  • Profitable (9.7% net margin)

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +1

  • Forward P/E 17.9 (reasonable)

    Sector comps + FMP· source

    +2

  • Consensus EPS estimate revised up 6.3% over 30d (fiscal quarter, 2026-06-30)

    Earnings calendar· source

    +2

  • Analyst EPS revisions net positive over 30d (2 net revisions)

    Earnings calendar· source

    +0.6
Technicals3.5 / 15

  • MACD histogram 0.238 (positive)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • Bullish options put/call skew (0.27 ratio)

    OPRA options flow· source

    +2

  • Call-side volume/open-interest pressure (1 call contracts >=1x OI ratio)

    OPRA options flow· source

    +0.5
Macro3 / 10

  • VIX 16.3 (mild) as of 2026-05-27

    Macro composite· source

    +16.3

  • 10y-2y spread 48bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-27

    Macro composite· source

    +0.48

  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5

  • Initial claims 215,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 1.01, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +1.01

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.71pp at 3th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.71

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 49.8 (weak) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +49.8

  • 10y-3m spread 80bps (positive) as of 2026-05-27

    Macro composite· source

    +0.8

  • Net liquidity (Fed assets - reverse repo - TGA) +$230B over 4 weeks (rising)

    Macro composite· source

    +1
Recommendation receipt

Source chain complete.

Recommendation cmppp04et0... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

100.0%
linked
1
event
1
sources
1
signals
Source coverage1 / 1
SEC EDGAR Form 41/1 linked
Latest source events

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-26· source

    raw linked
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
SEC EDGAR Form 4+2.22%
D7
+2.22%
n=92 · 66% hit
D15
+1.41%
n=28 · 61% hit
D30
n/a
Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance

No recurring actor in prior matured recommendations yet.

Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 951431.

Signal payload hash
b3ddeb28e61e872ce5e0484cde835313f71ec681d5fc4c8792318bc1844fa9f7
Timestamp
2026-05-28 15:42 UTC
Ticker
AMRZ
Direction
Long
Issued price
$53.10
Bitcoin block
951431