Insider bought $6.1M of TXO this 14d.
Every call here cleared our publish bar - a real smart-money buyer plus at least two confirmations - before the result. We track every win and miss in public.
The score comes from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Open each section to see the source behind the reason.
Director SIMPSON BOB R bought $866K
SEC EDGAR Form 4· source
Director SIMPSON BOB R bought $5.3M
SEC EDGAR Form 4· source
Citadel Advisors LLC holds $2.5M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
short-volume tape softening: latest 24.8% fell 7.9pp vs 20d avg 32.7%
FINRA short interest· source
VIX 16.3 (mild) as of 2026-05-27
Macro composite· source
10y-2y spread 48bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-27
Macro composite· source
Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
Initial claims 215,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 1.01, neutral)
Macro composite· source
CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
HY OAS 2.71pp at 3th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 49.8 (weak) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
10y-3m spread 80bps (positive) as of 2026-05-27
Macro composite· source
Net liquidity (Fed assets - reverse repo - TGA) +$230B over 4 weeks (rising)
Macro composite· source
You can still check when this call was saved below. It is not counted in the main win/loss scorecard.
When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, score, reasons, target range, price, and time. The code on the right lets anyone check that the saved record was not changed later.
Saved on Bitcoin block 951431.