Smart-money signal on MGA this 14d.
Every call here cleared our publish bar - a real smart-money buyer plus at least two confirmations - before the result. We track every win and miss in public.
The score comes from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Open each section to see the source behind the reason.
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP increased position ($69.5M) (+6708%)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $16.0M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Citadel Advisors LLC holds $3.1M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $25.7M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
short-volume tape softening: latest 54.7% fell 19.5pp vs 20d avg 74.1%
FINRA short interest· source
Revenue growth 1.7% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)
Earnings releases (8-K)· source
Operating margin expanded 122bps YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
Trailing-12mo free cash flow grew 86.6% vs prior 12mo
10-Q + 10-K· source
Net debt reduced 21.7% YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
Forward P/E 9.4 (reasonable)
Sector comps + FMP· source
MACD histogram 0.328 (positive)
Price + volume· source
EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)
Price + volume· source
60-day breakout (today close > prior-60d high)
Price + volume· source
Multi-timeframe partial confluence (2-of-3, no opposing) (1d=LONG, 1w=LONG, 1m=NEUTRAL)
Price + volume· source
Latest day's short ratio 54.7% (19.5pp below 20d baseline)
Price + volume· source
Bullish options put/call skew (0.02 ratio)
OPRA options flow· source
Call-side volume/open-interest pressure (1 call contracts >=1x OI ratio)
OPRA options flow· source
VIX 17.0 (mild) as of 2026-05-26
Macro composite· source
10y-2y spread 49bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-26
Macro composite· source
Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
Initial claims 209,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.98, neutral)
Macro composite· source
CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
HY OAS 2.72pp at 6th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 49.8 (weak) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
10y-3m spread 82bps (positive) as of 2026-05-26
Macro composite· source
Net liquidity (Fed assets - reverse repo - TGA) +$230B over 4 weeks (rising)
Macro composite· source
We group 1 same-day call into one public result, so wins and misses cannot be cherry-picked. The source links below show what the call was based on.
SEC EDGAR 13F
FILING 13F FUND FLOW · 2026-05-15· source
13F filer
When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, score, reasons, target range, price, and time. The code on the right lets anyone check that the saved record was not changed later.
Saved on Bitcoin block 951302.