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AMD

LongInsider Cluster

Smart-money signal on AMD this 14d.

Status
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Result so far
+4.9%edge vs SPY
Day 18 of 30
Tracking to 30D
AMD call
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
AlphaYou score
23
Public call
internal bandModerate

Higher means the call has more support from the data we track.

Target move
+5% to +15%
by 30D from when the call was saved
Saved
Date
May 27, 2026
Price
$495.54
Time
30D
Time passed
Day 18of 30
Next result check: 30D in 12D
Result checks
7 checks after the call
  1. 7DChecked
  2. 15DChecked
  3. 30D+12D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each check, we record what happened. We do not rewrite old calls.

Why this call?

28 reasons went into this score.

The score comes from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Open each section to see the source behind the reason.

Smart money
4 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
12.1 / 35
Technicals
3.8 / 15
Macro
3.1 / 10
Smart money4 / 40
  • Fidelity Magellan Fund [Fidelity Magellan Fund] opened position ($545.7M)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4
  • ARK Investment Management LLC holds $551.9M (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5
  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $267.9M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5
  • ARK ETF Trust holds $265.4M (NPORT-P 2026-01-30)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +5
  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $291.8M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4
  • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $279.1M (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4
  • Pending dilution: 1 S-3/S-8 shelf in trailing 90d

    SEC EDGAR dilution filings

    -1
Fund. & Earn.12.1 / 35
  • Revenue growth 37.8% YoY (period end 2026-03-28)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +3
  • Operating margin expanded 356bps YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +3
  • Net debt reduced 14.2% YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +1.4
  • Profitable (13.4% net margin)

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +1
  • Consensus EPS estimate revised up 13.2% over 30d (fiscal quarter, 2026-06-30)

    Earnings calendar· source

    +2
  • Analyst EPS revisions net positive over 30d (33 net revisions)

    Earnings calendar· source

    +1.7
Technicals3.8 / 15
  • MACD histogram 1.538 (positive)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
  • EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
  • Multi-timeframe partial confluence (2-of-3, no opposing) (1d=LONG, 1w=LONG, 1m=NEUTRAL)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
  • Bullish options put/call skew (0.73 ratio)

    OPRA options flow· source

    +0.8
Macro3.1 / 10
  • VIX 17.0 (mild) as of 2026-05-26

    Macro composite· source

    +17
  • 10y-2y spread 49bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-26

    Macro composite· source

    +0.49
  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5
  • Initial claims 209,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.98, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.98
  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95
  • HY OAS 2.72pp at 6th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.72
  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16
  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87
  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 49.8 (weak) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +49.8
  • 10y-3m spread 82bps (positive) as of 2026-05-26

    Macro composite· source

    +0.82
  • Net liquidity (Fed assets - reverse repo - TGA) +$230B over 4 weeks (rising)

    Macro composite· source

    +1
Public record

Source links complete.

We group 1 same-day call into one public result, so wins and misses cannot be cherry-picked. The source links below show what the call was based on.

100.0%
linked
1
event
1
sources
1
calls
Source links1 / 1
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P1/1 linked
Latest source items
  • SEC EDGAR NPORT-P

    FILING NPORT P FUND FLOW · 2026-05-26· source

    raw linked
Past source results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call
D7
-0.32%
6 calls · 50% hit
D15
+5.75%
5 calls · 60% hit
D30
-10.02%
1 calls · 0% hit
Past person or fund results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call
D7
+11.04%
2 calls · 100% hit
D15
+5.75%
1 calls · 100% hit
D30
n/a
Can you check it?

Saved on Bitcoin.

When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, score, reasons, target range, price, and time. The code on the right lets anyone check that the saved record was not changed later.

Saved on Bitcoin block 951302.

Saved record code
42b07c9e8741b65bb5e3c56ed588dfb37fc8d3c5c5a3e73ef9196231a0cd73b6
Saved time
2026-05-27 20:17 UTC
Ticker
AMD
Direction
Long
Issued price
$495.54
Bitcoin block
951302