Insider bought $994K of MELI this 14d.
Every call here cleared our publish bar - a real smart-money buyer plus at least two confirmations - before the result. We track every win and miss in public.
The score comes from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Open each section to see the source behind the reason.
Director Aguzin Alejandro Nicolas bought $994K
SEC EDGAR Form 4· source
TIGER GLOBAL MANAGEMENT LLC opened position ($233.4M)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP increased position ($49.8M) (+801%)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $55.4M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
ARK Investment Management LLC holds $41.5M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
ARK ETF Trust holds $32.4M (NPORT-P 2026-01-30)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
Janus Investment Fund (legacy active) holds $658.9M (NPORT-P 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
Fidelity Magellan Fund holds $450.0M (NPORT-P 2025-09-30)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
short-volume tape softening: latest 36.6% fell 10.8pp vs 20d avg 47.4%
FINRA short interest· source
Short interest fell -12.5% as of 2026-04-30 (twice-monthly FINRA)
FINRA short interest· source
Latest day's short ratio 36.6% (10.8pp below 20d baseline)
Price + volume· source
VIX 16.6 (mild) as of 2026-05-25
Macro composite· source
10y-2y spread 49bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-26
Macro composite· source
Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
Initial claims 209,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.98, neutral)
Macro composite· source
CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
HY OAS 2.74pp at 8th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 49.8 (weak) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
10y-3m spread 82bps (positive) as of 2026-05-26
Macro composite· source
Net liquidity (Fed assets - reverse repo - TGA) +$230B over 4 weeks (rising)
Macro composite· source
We group 1 same-day call into one public result, so wins and misses cannot be cherry-picked. The source links below show what the call was based on.
13F filer
13F filer
When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, score, reasons, target range, price, and time. The code on the right lets anyone check that the saved record was not changed later.
Saved on Bitcoin block 951228.