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IOVA

LongInsider Cluster

Smart-money signal on IOVA this 14d.

verified·9308083f40c1
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+0.0%alpha vs SPY
Day 0 of 30
Tracking to 30D
IOVA signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Conviction
14/100
Weakconfidence
Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 24, 2026
Price
$4.11
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 0of 30
Next checkpoint: 7D in 7D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7D+7D
  2. 15D+15D
  3. 30D+30D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

25 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
7 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
0 / 35
Technicals
4 / 15
Macro
3.1 / 10
Smart money7 / 40

  • TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP increased position ($48.0M) (+211%)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $1.8M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $8.6M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $85K (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3

  • short-volume tape softening: latest 28.9% fell 10.6pp vs 20d avg 39.4%

    FINRA short interest· source

    +2
Fund. & Earn.0 / 35

  • Analyst target $8.80 >5% above 52w high

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +1

  • Negative ROE (-47.5%) - capital destruction

    10-K + bond filings· source

    -2

  • Unprofitable (-123.9% net margin)

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    -1
Technicals4 / 15

  • RSI(14) 62.5 (elevated)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • MACD histogram 0.033 (positive)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • Volume expansion (>1.5x prior-20d avg)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • Multi-timeframe partial confluence (2-of-3, no opposing) (1d=LONG, 1w=NEUTRAL, 1m=LONG)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • Latest day's short ratio 28.9% (10.6pp below 20d baseline)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
Macro3.1 / 10

  • VIX 16.8 (mild) as of 2026-05-21

    Macro composite· source

    +16.8

  • 10y-2y spread 43bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-22

    Macro composite· source

    +0.43

  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5

  • Initial claims 209,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.98, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.98

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.78pp at 16th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.78

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 49.8 (weak) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +49.8

  • 10y-3m spread 88bps (positive) as of 2026-05-22

    Macro composite· source

    +0.88

  • Net liquidity (Fed assets - reverse repo - TGA) +$230B over 4 weeks (rising)

    Macro composite· source

    +1
Cryptographic proof

Calendar proof recorded.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

Calendar attested. Bitcoin confirmation is pending until the proof is upgraded and verified.

Signal payload hash
9308083f40c158db9e31dc06511499f5c3c4b2b9901ab80df6572e8166ebf82c
Timestamp
2026-05-24 19:21 UTC
Ticker
IOVA
Direction
Long
Issued price
$4.11
Bitcoin block
Pending attestation