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KGC

LongInsider Cluster

Smart-money signal on KGC this 14d.

verified·ab930b12bfb3
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+0.0%alpha vs SPY
Day 0 of 30
Tracking to 30D
KGC signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Conviction
16/100
Weakconfidence
Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 24, 2026
Price
$28.29
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 0of 30
Next checkpoint: 7D in 7D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7D+7D
  2. 15D+15D
  3. 30D+30D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

24 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
7 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
4 / 35
Technicals
2 / 15
Macro
3.1 / 10
Smart money7 / 40

  • TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP increased position ($42.5M) (+763%)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $703.3M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $2.7M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $413.2M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3

  • short-volume tape softening: latest 27.8% fell 14.7pp vs 20d avg 42.5%

    FINRA short interest· source

    +2
Fund. & Earn.4 / 35

  • Strong ROE (35.5%)

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +1

  • Profitable (36.0% net margin)

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +1

  • Forward P/E 9.7 (reasonable)

    Sector comps + FMP· source

    +1

  • Analyst target $41.23 >5% above 52w high

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +1
Technicals2 / 15

  • RSI(14) 39.8 (mild, room above)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • MACD histogram -0.223 (negative)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • EMA stack bearish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • Latest day's short ratio 27.8% (14.7pp below 20d baseline)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
Macro3.1 / 10

  • VIX 16.8 (mild) as of 2026-05-21

    Macro composite· source

    +16.8

  • 10y-2y spread 43bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-22

    Macro composite· source

    +0.43

  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5

  • Initial claims 209,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.98, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.98

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.78pp at 16th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.78

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 49.8 (weak) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +49.8

  • 10y-3m spread 88bps (positive) as of 2026-05-22

    Macro composite· source

    +0.88

  • Net liquidity (Fed assets - reverse repo - TGA) +$230B over 4 weeks (rising)

    Macro composite· source

    +1
Cryptographic proof

Calendar proof recorded.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

Calendar attested. Bitcoin confirmation is pending until the proof is upgraded and verified.

Signal payload hash
ab930b12bfb32959f522035c8ccb8d24f7a26b1fca9b9b24af2aede1348a933a
Timestamp
2026-05-24 19:21 UTC
Ticker
KGC
Direction
Long
Issued price
$28.29
Bitcoin block
Pending attestation