Not public. This call is held back from public pages. The saved record is still visible here, but this is not an AlphaYou public call. Reasons: confidence:WEAK, score:15<22, short-public-recs-disabled. Read rules.

SMTC

ShortInsider Sell

Insider sold $69K of SMTC this week + earnings call in 3d.

saved·e4bd4455ed4e·2026-05-23 03:20 UTC

Stage

Active · step 3 of 6

Detected
Verified
Active
Cooling
Resolved
Scored

Result so far

-0.4%vs SPY · this call

Day 28 of 30

Tracking to 30D

SMTC call

SPY benchmark

This is one call - see every call vs the SPY

Status

Vetted

Not public

Every call here cleared our publish bar - a real smart-money buyer plus at least two confirmations - before the result. We track every win and miss in public.

Target move

-5% to -15%

by 30D from when the call was saved

Saved

Date: May 23, 2026
Price: $156.78
Time: 30D

Time passed

Day 28of 30

Next result check: 30D in 2D

Why this call?

23 reasons went into this score.

The score comes from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Open each section to see the source behind the reason.

Smart Money1.5/40

Fundamentals7/35

Technicals1/15

Macro5.9/10

Smart Money1.5 / 40

Director Walsh Paul V Jr sold $69K (10b5-1 plan)
SEC EDGAR Form 4· source
+55284

Fundamentals7 / 35

Operating margin compressed 239bps YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
+3
Earnings call within 3d (pre-earnings setup window)
Earnings calendar
+1
Negative ROE (-7.4%)
10-K + bond filings· source
+1
Unprofitable (-3.9% net margin)
10-Q + 10-K· source
+1
High beta 2.22 (asymmetric downside)
OPRA options flow· source
+1

Technicals1 / 15

RSI(14) 76.9 (overbought, mean-reversion bias down)
Price + volume· source
+1
MACD histogram 1.796 (positive)
Price + volume· source
+0
EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)
Price + volume· source
+0
60-day breakout (today close > prior-60d high)
Price + volume· source
+0
Volume expansion (>1.5x prior-20d avg)
Price + volume· source
+0

Macro5.9 / 10

VIX 16.8 (mild) as of 2026-05-21
Macro composite· source
+16.8
10y-2y spread 43bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-22
Macro composite· source
+0.43
Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
+102.5
Initial claims 209,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.98, neutral)
Macro composite· source
+0.98
CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
+3.95
HY OAS 2.78pp at 16th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
+2.78
Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
+0.16
Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
+4.87
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 49.8 (weak) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
+49.8
10y-3m spread 88bps (positive) as of 2026-05-22
Macro composite· source
+0.88
9/11 sectors lagging SPY by >=1pp over 20d (broad-based weakness)
ETF flows + sector data· source
+3
Equal-weight RSP 0.0pp vs SPY, IWM -2.3pp vs SPY (narrow leadership / risk-off)
ETF flows + sector data· source
+1

Result checks

7D
15D
30D
60D
90D
120D
180D
1Y

recorded at each check · never rewritten

Public record

This call is saved, but not in the public scorecard.

You can still check when this call was saved below. It is not counted in the main win/loss scorecard.

Can you check it?

Saved on Bitcoin.

When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, score, reasons, target range, price, and time. The code on the right lets anyone check that the saved record was not changed later.

Download proof file How this works

Saved on Bitcoin block 950618.

Saved record code

e4bd4455ed4ef2a01dc4972c7643d719fbe8540c10faf660409e1a7e36699000

Saved time: 2026-05-23 03:20 UTC
Ticker: SMTC
Direction: Short
Issued price: $156.78
Bitcoin block: 950618