Not public. This call is held back from public pages. The saved record is still visible here, but this is not an AlphaYou public call. Reasons: confidence:WEAK, score:14<22, short-public-recs-disabled. Read rules.

ARM

ShortInsider Sell

Insider sold $1.3M of ARM this week.

saved·ff60c7d3d0d5·2026-05-22 21:50 UTC

Stage

Active · step 3 of 6

Detected
Verified
Active
Cooling
Resolved
Scored

Result so far

-12.2%vs SPY · this call

Day 28 of 30

Tracking to 30D

ARM call

SPY benchmark

This is one call - see every call vs the SPY

Status

Vetted

Not public

Every call here cleared our publish bar - a real smart-money buyer plus at least two confirmations - before the result. We track every win and miss in public.

Target move

-5% to -15%

by 30D from when the call was saved

Saved

Date: May 22, 2026
Price: $306.51
Time: 30D

Time passed

Day 28of 30

Next result check: 30D in 2D

Why this call?

19 reasons went into this score.

The score comes from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Open each section to see the source behind the reason.

Smart Money4.9/40

Fundamentals2/35

Technicals1/15

Macro5.9/10

Smart Money4.9 / 40

Chief Commercial Officer Abbey William sold $1.3M
SEC EDGAR Form 4· source
+2672249

Fundamentals2 / 35

Stretched P/E 302.0 (overpriced)
Sector comps + FMP· source
+1
High beta 3.41 (asymmetric downside)
OPRA options flow· source
+1

Technicals1 / 15

RSI(14) 76.6 (overbought, mean-reversion bias down)
Price + volume· source
+1
MACD histogram 6.945 (positive)
Price + volume· source
+0
EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)
Price + volume· source
+0
60-day breakout (today close > prior-60d high)
Price + volume· source
+0

Macro5.9 / 10

VIX 17.4 (mild) as of 2026-05-20
Macro composite· source
+17.4
10y-2y spread 49bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-21
Macro composite· source
+0.49
Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
+102.5
Initial claims 209,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.98, neutral)
Macro composite· source
+0.98
CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
+3.95
HY OAS 2.80pp at 21th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
+2.8
Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
+0.16
Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
+4.87
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01
Macro composite· source
+53.3
10y-3m spread 89bps (positive) as of 2026-05-21
Macro composite· source
+0.89
9/11 sectors lagging SPY by >=1pp over 20d (broad-based weakness)
ETF flows + sector data· source
+3
Equal-weight RSP 0.0pp vs SPY, IWM -2.3pp vs SPY (narrow leadership / risk-off)
ETF flows + sector data· source
+1

Result checks

7D
15D
30D
60D
90D
120D
180D
1Y

recorded at each check · never rewritten

Public record

This call is saved, but not in the public scorecard.

You can still check when this call was saved below. It is not counted in the main win/loss scorecard.

Can you check it?

Saved on Bitcoin.

When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, score, reasons, target range, price, and time. The code on the right lets anyone check that the saved record was not changed later.

Download proof file How this works

Saved on Bitcoin block 950580.

Saved record code

ff60c7d3d0d57a9bdbe53412dd536b5773866172f9b712e560343f3b3771e3c4

Saved time: 2026-05-22 21:50 UTC
Ticker: ARM
Direction: Short
Issued price: $306.51
Bitcoin block: 950580