Not public. This call is held back from public pages. The saved record is still visible here, but this is not an AlphaYou public call. Reasons: confidence:WEAK, score:13<22, short-public-recs-disabled. Read rules.

ABNB

ShortInsider Cluster

1 insider filed Form 144 (intent to sell) on ABNB this week.

saved·576515672df7·2026-05-22 14:50 UTC

Stage

Active · step 3 of 6

Detected
Verified
Active
Cooling
Resolved
Scored

Result so far

+0.7%vs SPY · this call

Day 29 of 30

Tracking to 30D

ABNB call

SPY benchmark

This is one call - see every call vs the SPY

Status

Vetted

Not public

Every call here cleared our publish bar - a real smart-money buyer plus at least two confirmations - before the result. We track every win and miss in public.

Target move

-5% to -15%

by 30D from when the call was saved

Saved

Date: May 22, 2026
Price: $134.25
Time: 30D

Time passed

Day 29of 30

Next result check: 30D in 1D

Why this call?

19 reasons went into this score.

The score comes from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Open each section to see the source behind the reason.

Smart Money4/40

Fundamentals2/35

Technicals1/15

Macro5.9/10

Smart Money4 / 40

Blecharczyk Nathan filed Form 144 ($1.6M intent to sell Airbnb, Inc.)
SEC EDGAR Form 144· source
+2
short-volume tape elevated: latest 51.8% rose 5.1pp vs 20d avg 46.7%
FINRA short interest· source
+1
Short interest rose 16.1% as of 2026-04-30 (twice-monthly FINRA)
FINRA short interest· source
+1

Fundamentals2 / 35

Net debt rose 38.4% YoY
10-K + bond filings· source
+2

Technicals1 / 15

RSI(14) 46.7 (neutral)
Price + volume· source
+0
MACD histogram -0.837 (negative)
Price + volume· source
+1
EMA stack mixed (9/21/50)
Price + volume· source
+0

Macro5.9 / 10

VIX 17.4 (mild) as of 2026-05-20
Macro composite· source
+17.4
10y-2y spread 49bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-21
Macro composite· source
+0.49
Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
+102.5
Initial claims 209,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.98, neutral)
Macro composite· source
+0.98
CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
+3.95
HY OAS 2.80pp at 21th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
+2.8
Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
+0.16
Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
+4.87
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01
Macro composite· source
+53.3
10y-3m spread 89bps (positive) as of 2026-05-21
Macro composite· source
+0.89
9/11 sectors lagging SPY by >=1pp over 20d (broad-based weakness)
ETF flows + sector data· source
+3
Equal-weight RSP 0.0pp vs SPY, IWM -2.3pp vs SPY (narrow leadership / risk-off)
ETF flows + sector data· source
+1

Result checks

7D
15D
30D
60D
90D
120D
180D
1Y

recorded at each check · never rewritten

Public record

This call is saved, but not in the public scorecard.

You can still check when this call was saved below. It is not counted in the main win/loss scorecard.

Can you check it?

Saved on Bitcoin.

When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, score, reasons, target range, price, and time. The code on the right lets anyone check that the saved record was not changed later.

Download proof file How this works

Saved on Bitcoin block 950532.

Saved record code

576515672df701aecff56ddd2c6ba016529bd86c2ed211d62f0e60da94b7999a

Saved time: 2026-05-22 14:50 UTC
Ticker: ABNB
Direction: Short
Issued price: $134.25
Bitcoin block: 950532