Smart-money signal on URI this 14d.
Every call here cleared our publish bar - a real smart-money buyer plus at least two confirmations - before the result. We track every win and miss in public.
The score comes from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Open each section to see the source behind the reason.
Rep. Hon. Maria Elvira Salazar bought URI ($1,001-$15,000)
House STOCK Act + Senate eFD· source
Fidelity Magellan Fund holds $497.3M (NPORT-P 2025-09-30)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
American Funds Insurance Series holds $329.8M (NPORT-P 2025-09-30)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
Citadel Advisors LLC holds $113.9M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Two Sigma Investments LP holds $56.1M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Capital Group Equity ETF Trust I holds $15.5M (NPORT-P 2026-02-28)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
Revenue growth 7.2% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)
Earnings releases (8-K)· source
Operating margin expanded 19bps YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
Strong ROE (28.2%)
10-Q + 10-K· source
Profitable (15.3% net margin)
10-Q + 10-K· source
Forward P/E 20.3 (reasonable)
Sector comps + FMP· source
Analyst target $1084.25 >5% above 52w high
Earnings releases (8-K)· source
VIX 17.4 (mild) as of 2026-05-20
Macro composite· source
10y-2y spread 49bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-21
Macro composite· source
Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
Initial claims 209,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.98, neutral)
Macro composite· source
CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
HY OAS 2.80pp at 21th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01
Macro composite· source
10y-3m spread 89bps (positive) as of 2026-05-21
Macro composite· source
Net liquidity (Fed assets - reverse repo - TGA) +$228B over 4 weeks (rising)
Macro composite· source
We group 1 same-day call into one public result, so wins and misses cannot be cherry-picked. The source links below show what the call was based on.
house-clerk-ptr-pdf
CONGRESSIONAL TRADE · 2026-05-08· source
Congress
When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, score, reasons, target range, price, and time. The code on the right lets anyone check that the saved record was not changed later.
Saved on Bitcoin block 950501.