Watch closely. This call was saved, but it is not strong enough to count in the public scorecard. Treat it as stock context, not an AlphaYou public call. Reasons: confidence:WEAK, score:12<14. Read rules.

NCLH

LongInsider Cluster

2 insiders bought $700K of NCLH this 14d.

saved·81bb8a268141·2026-05-22 03:20 UTC

Stage

Active · step 3 of 6

Detected
Verified
Active
Cooling
Resolved
Scored

Result so far

+14.9%vs SPY · this call

Day 29 of 30

Tracking to 30D

NCLH call

SPY benchmark

This is one call - see every call vs the SPY

Status

Vetted

Watch closely

Every call here cleared our publish bar - a real smart-money buyer plus at least two confirmations - before the result. We track every win and miss in public.

Target move

+5% to +15%

by 30D from when the call was saved

Saved

Date: May 22, 2026
Price: $16.47
Time: 30D

Time passed

Day 29of 30

Next result check: 30D in 1D

Why this call?

22 reasons went into this score.

The score comes from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Open each section to see the source behind the reason.

Smart Money3.3/40

Fundamentals5/35

Technicals1/15

Macro3.1/10

Smart Money3.3 / 40

Director COHEN JONATHAN Z bought $475K
SEC EDGAR Form 4· source
+949800
Director Cil Jose E. bought $225K
SEC EDGAR Form 4· source
+450700
Pending dilution: 1 S-3/S-8 shelf in trailing 90d
SEC EDGAR dilution filings
-1

Fundamentals5 / 35

Revenue growth 9.6% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)
Earnings releases (8-K)· source
+1.1
Operating margin expanded 55bps YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
+0.8
Strong ROE (29.5%)
10-Q + 10-K· source
+1
Profitable (5.7% net margin)
10-Q + 10-K· source
+1
Forward P/E 8.0 (reasonable)
Sector comps + FMP· source
+1

Technicals1 / 15

RSI(14) 43.9 (mild, room above)
Price + volume· source
+1
MACD histogram -0.008 (negative)
Price + volume· source
+0
EMA stack bearish (9/21/50)
Price + volume· source
+0

Macro3.1 / 10

VIX 17.4 (mild) as of 2026-05-20
Macro composite· source
+17.4
10y-2y spread 49bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-21
Macro composite· source
+0.49
Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
+102.5
Initial claims 209,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.98, neutral)
Macro composite· source
+0.98
CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
+3.95
HY OAS 2.80pp at 21th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
+2.8
Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
+0.16
Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
+4.87
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01
Macro composite· source
+53.3
10y-3m spread 89bps (positive) as of 2026-05-21
Macro composite· source
+0.89
Net liquidity (Fed assets - reverse repo - TGA) +$228B over 4 weeks (rising)
Macro composite· source
+1

Result checks

7D
15D
30D
60D
90D
120D
180D
1Y

recorded at each check · never rewritten

Public record

This call is saved, but not in the public scorecard.

You can still check when this call was saved below. It is not counted in the main win/loss scorecard.

Can you check it?

Saved on Bitcoin.

When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, score, reasons, target range, price, and time. The code on the right lets anyone check that the saved record was not changed later.

Download proof file How this works

Saved on Bitcoin block 950455.

Saved record code

81bb8a2681419a37353bb1bdf8a55ab9853bbd4d07b7aa4c24dc9678543a0011

Saved time: 2026-05-22 03:20 UTC
Ticker: NCLH
Direction: Long
Issued price: $16.47
Bitcoin block: 950455