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All calls

CVNA

LongInsider Cluster

Smart-money signal on CVNA this 14d.

saved·25f2d9eddec8·2026-05-21 23:50 UTC
Stage
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Result so far
+4.4%vs SPY · this call
Day 30 of 30
Tracking to 30D
0%2.6%5.3%8%D0D8D15D23D30
CVNA call
SPY benchmark
This is one call - see every call vs the SPY
Status
Vetted
Public call

Every call here cleared our publish bar - a real smart-money buyer plus at least two confirmations - before the result. We track every win and miss in public.

Target move
+5% to +15%
by 30D from when the call was saved
Saved
Date
May 21, 2026
Price
$64.39
Time
30D
Time passed
Day 30of 30
Next result check: 30D today
Why this call?

26 reasons went into this score.

The score comes from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Open each section to see the source behind the reason.

Smart Money5/40
Fundamentals5/35
Technicals1/15
Macro3.1/10
Smart Money5 / 40
  • Rep. Hon. Gilbert Cisneros bought CVNA ($1,001-$15,000)

    House STOCK Act + Senate eFD· source

    +1
  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $594.0M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5
  • Lone Pine Capital LLC holds $551.6M (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4
  • D. E. Shaw & Co Inc holds $214.1M (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4
  • American Funds Insurance Series holds $26.1M (NPORT-P 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4
  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $13.3M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4
  • short-volume tape softening: latest 61.0% fell 6.9pp vs 20d avg 67.9%

    FINRA short interest· source

    +1
  • Pending dilution: 1 S-3/S-8 shelf in trailing 90d

    SEC EDGAR dilution filings

    -1
Fundamentals5 / 35
  • Revenue growth 52.0% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +3
  • Strong ROE (60.2%)

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +1
  • Profitable (6.4% net margin)

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +1
Technicals1 / 15
  • RSI(14) 15.9 (oversold, mean-reversion bias up)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
  • MACD histogram -18.765 (negative)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
  • EMA stack bearish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
  • Volume expansion (>1.5x prior-20d avg)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
Macro3.1 / 10
  • VIX 17.4 (mild) as of 2026-05-20

    Macro composite· source

    +17.4
  • 10y-2y spread 49bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-21

    Macro composite· source

    +0.49
  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5
  • Initial claims 209,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.98, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.98
  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95
  • HY OAS 2.80pp at 21th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.8
  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16
  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87
  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3
  • 10y-3m spread 89bps (positive) as of 2026-05-21

    Macro composite· source

    +0.89
  • Net liquidity (Fed assets - reverse repo - TGA) +$228B over 4 weeks (rising)

    Macro composite· source

    +1
Result checks
  1. 7D
  2. 15D
  3. 30D
  4. 60D
  5. 90D
  6. 120D
  7. 180D
  8. 1Y
recorded at each check · never rewritten
Public record

Source links complete.

We group 1 same-day call into one public result, so wins and misses cannot be cherry-picked. The source links below show what the call was based on.

100.0%
linked
1
event
1
sources
1
calls
Source links1 / 1
house-clerk-ptr-pdf1/1 linked
Latest source items
  • house-clerk-ptr-pdf

    CONGRESSIONAL TRADE · 2026-05-08· source

    raw linked
Past source results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call
house-clerk-ptr-pdf-0.42%
D7
-0.42%
12 calls · 42% hit
D15
+2.76%
12 calls · 67% hit
D30
+3.91%
12 calls · 58% hit
Past person or fund results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call
Hon. Gilbert Cisneros

Congress

+0.10%
D7
+0.10%
4 calls · 50% hit
D15
+8.01%
4 calls · 75% hit
D30
+8.79%
4 calls · 75% hit
Can you check it?

Saved on Bitcoin.

When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, score, reasons, target range, price, and time. The code on the right lets anyone check that the saved record was not changed later.

Download proof fileHow this works

Saved on Bitcoin block 950435.

Saved record code
25f2d9eddec8a5f2e7635b53754f5e928ef731ecedd79864d86cd188cc993cda
Saved time
2026-05-21 23:50 UTC
Ticker
CVNA
Direction
Long
Issued price
$64.39
Bitcoin block
950435
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