Not public. This call is held back from public pages. The saved record is still visible here, but this is not an AlphaYou public call. Reasons: confidence:WEAK, score:13<14, cohort:suppress-sector-financial-services-2026-05-28. Read rules.

PGR

LongInsider Cluster

Smart-money signal on PGR this 14d.

saved·82d820160f25·2026-05-21 23:50 UTC

Stage

Active · step 3 of 6

Detected
Verified
Active
Cooling
Resolved
Scored

Result so far

+3.6%vs SPY · this call

Day 30 of 30

Tracking to 30D

PGR call

SPY benchmark

This is one call - see every call vs the SPY

Status

Vetted

Not public

Every call here cleared our publish bar - a real smart-money buyer plus at least two confirmations - before the result. We track every win and miss in public.

Target move

+5% to +15%

by 30D from when the call was saved

Saved

Date: May 21, 2026
Price: $198.97
Time: 30D

Time passed

Day 30of 30

Next result check: 30D today

Why this call?

24 reasons went into this score.

The score comes from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Open each section to see the source behind the reason.

Smart Money5/40

Fundamentals4/35

Technicals1/15

Macro3.1/10

Smart Money5 / 40

TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP increased position ($699.4M) (+273%)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
+4
Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $60.2M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
+5
Fidelity Magellan Fund holds $529.2M (NPORT-P 2025-09-30)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
+4
Janus Investment Fund (legacy active) holds $295.2M (NPORT-P 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
+4
American Funds Insurance Series holds $174.4M (NPORT-P 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
+4
Citadel Advisors LLC holds $157.7M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
+4

Fundamentals4 / 35

Revenue growth 8.7% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)
Earnings releases (8-K)· source
+1
Strong ROE (37.9%)
10-Q + 10-K· source
+1
Profitable (12.9% net margin)
10-Q + 10-K· source
+1
Forward P/E 12.4 (reasonable)
Sector comps + FMP· source
+1

Technicals1 / 15

RSI(14) 48.1 (neutral)
Price + volume· source
+0
MACD histogram 0.504 (positive)
Price + volume· source
+1
EMA stack mixed (9/21/50)
Price + volume· source
+0

Macro3.1 / 10

VIX 17.4 (mild) as of 2026-05-20
Macro composite· source
+17.4
10y-2y spread 49bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-21
Macro composite· source
+0.49
Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
+102.5
Initial claims 209,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.98, neutral)
Macro composite· source
+0.98
CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
+3.95
HY OAS 2.80pp at 21th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
+2.8
Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
+0.16
Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
+4.87
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01
Macro composite· source
+53.3
10y-3m spread 89bps (positive) as of 2026-05-21
Macro composite· source
+0.89
Net liquidity (Fed assets - reverse repo - TGA) +$228B over 4 weeks (rising)
Macro composite· source
+1

Result checks

7D
15D
30D
60D
90D
120D
180D
1Y

recorded at each check · never rewritten

Public record

This call is saved, but not in the public scorecard.

You can still check when this call was saved below. It is not counted in the main win/loss scorecard.

Can you check it?

Saved on Bitcoin.

When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, score, reasons, target range, price, and time. The code on the right lets anyone check that the saved record was not changed later.

Download proof file How this works

Saved on Bitcoin block 950435.

Saved record code

82d820160f25d299f6ac2a4f4f918fc6029ad4b2d97347900b90f92b68680480

Saved time: 2026-05-21 23:50 UTC
Ticker: PGR
Direction: Long
Issued price: $198.97
Bitcoin block: 950435