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MP

LongInsider Buy

C-suite insider bought $963K of MP this 14d.

verified·fcd04279eb6c
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+16.7%alpha vs SPY
Day 9 of 30
Tracking to 30D
MP signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
21
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 21, 2026
Price
$56.50
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 9of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D in 6D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15D+6D
  3. 30D+21D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

22 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
9.9 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
8 / 35
Technicals
1 / 15
Macro
1.9 / 10
Smart money9.9 / 40

  • Chief Operating Officer Rosenthal Michael Stuart bought $963K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +2887620

  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $94.2M (13F 2025-09-30)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $72.8M (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $4.7M (13F 2025-09-30)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $70.1M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3

  • Bridgewater Associates LP holds $456K (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3
Fund. & Earn.8 / 35

  • Revenue growth 49.1% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +3

  • Operating margin expanded 3058bps YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +3

  • Net debt reduced 82.4% YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +2
Technicals1 / 15

  • RSI(14) 41.2 (mild, room above)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • MACD histogram -1.662 (negative)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • EMA stack mixed (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
Macro1.9 / 10

  • VIX 18.1 (mild) as of 2026-05-19

    Macro composite· source

    +18.1

  • 10y-2y spread 54bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-19

    Macro composite· source

    +0.54

  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5

  • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.99

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.86pp at 49th-pct trailing-90d (mid credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.86

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3

  • 10y-3m spread 100bps (positive) as of 2026-05-19

    Macro composite· source

    +1
Recommendation receipt

Source chain complete.

Recommendation cmppnerj60... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

100.0%
linked
1
event
1
sources
1
signals
Source coverage1 / 1
SEC EDGAR Form 41/1 linked
Latest source events

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-21· source

    raw linked
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
SEC EDGAR Form 4+2.24%
D7
+2.24%
n=85 · 68% hit
D15
+1.41%
n=28 · 61% hit
D30
n/a
Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance

No recurring actor in prior matured recommendations yet.

Cryptographic proof

Proof queued.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

How OpenTimestamps works

Anchoring queued. Refresh after a moment to see the .ots proof.

Signal payload hash
fcd04279eb6c7b0e214ecfd8b27f785e24723e7930640c3993abf5eac646ff3f
Timestamp
2026-05-21 01:20 UTC
Ticker
MP
Direction
Long
Issued price
$56.50
Bitcoin block
Queued