AlphaYou
NVAX
LongInsider ClusterSmart-money signal on NVAX this 14d.
Result so far
-3.4%vs SPY · this call
Day 43 of 30
Tracking to 30D
NVAX call
SPY benchmark
Target move
+5% to +15%
by 30D from when the call was saved
Baseline band: this call was saved before per-stock volatility targets shipped (Jun 29, 2026), so it uses AlphaYou's standard band. Newer calls carry stock-specific targets.
Saved
- Date
- May 21, 2026
- Price
- $9.27
- Time
- 30D
Time passed
Day 43of 30
Why this call?
20 source inputs support this call.
Start with the four driver buckets, then open each section for the source-level detail behind the call.
Smart MoneyMultiple inputs6 inputs
DriverCOATUE MANAGEMENT LLC opened position ($31.2M)
FundamentalsNo active inputs0 inputs
DriverWaiting for source confirmation
TechnicalsMultiple inputs4 inputs
DriverMACD histogram 0.034 (positive)
MacroMultiple inputs10 inputs
DriverVIX 18.1 (mild) as of 2026-05-19
Smart Money6 inputs
COATUE MANAGEMENT LLC opened position ($31.2M)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $10.4M (13F 2025-09-30)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Citadel Advisors LLC holds $7.2M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Two Sigma Investments LP holds $5.0M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
- FL
FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $2.9M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
- SM
short-volume tape softening: latest 33.9% fell 12.4pp vs 20d avg 46.3%
FINRA short interest· source
Fundamentals0 inputs
- No active source input in this bucket.
Macro10 inputs
VIX 18.1 (mild) as of 2026-05-19
Macro composite· source
10y-2y spread 54bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-19
Macro composite· source
Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)
Macro composite· source
CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
HY OAS 2.86pp at 49th-pct trailing-90d (mid credit spread)
Macro composite· source
Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01
Macro composite· source
10y-3m spread 100bps (positive) as of 2026-05-19
Macro composite· source
Result checks
- 7D
- 15D
- 30D
- 60D
- 90D
- 120D
- 180D
- 1Y
Public record
Source links complete.
We group 1 same-day call into one public result, so wins and misses cannot be cherry-picked. The source links below show what the call was based on.
100.0%
linked
1
event
1
sources
1
calls
Source links1 / 1
SEC EDGAR 13F1/1 linked
Latest source items
- raw linked
SEC EDGAR 13F
FILING 13F FUND FLOW · 2026-05-15· source
Past source results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call
SEC EDGAR 13F+1.55%
D7
+1.55%
85 calls · 65% hit
D15
+0.11%
85 calls · 51% hit
D30
+2.48%
85 calls · 60% hit
Past person or fund results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call
COATUE MANAGEMENT LLC
-3.09%13F filer
D7
-3.09%
2 calls · 0% hit
D15
+0.34%
2 calls · 50% hit
D30
-4.38%
2 calls · 50% hit
Call timingSaved record, target window, and result checks
- Target
- +5% to +15%
- Saved
- May 21, 2026
- Hold
- 30D
ExpandCollapse
Call timing
Saved record, target window, and result checks
- Target
- +5% to +15%
- Saved
- May 21, 2026
- Hold
- 30D
- Target
- +5% to +15%
- Saved
- May 21, 2026
- Entry
- $9.27
- Window
- 30D
Day 43of 30
AlphaYou measures this call against SPY at fixed checkpoints. Wins and misses stay visible on the public record.
Audit trail
Cooling · step 4 of 6- Detected
- Verified
- Active
- Cooling
- Resolved
- Measured
Proof
Call save proof queued.
When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, reasons, target range, price, and time so the record can be checked later.
Save is queued. Refresh in a moment to see the proof file.
Saved record code
24394990722864ac5af6f391ba2e4b26aa39b33c6ce607352bf9d86af98923c2
- Saved time
- 2026-05-21 00:20 UTC
- Ticker
- NVAX
- Direction
- Long
- Issued price
- $9.27
- Bitcoin block
- Queued