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POR

LongInsider Buy

Insider bought $98K of POR this 14d.

verified·b4df9d9ed022
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+2.5%alpha vs SPY
Day 10 of 30
Tracking to 30D
POR signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
15
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 19, 2026
Price
$49.29
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 10of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D in 5D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15D+5D
  3. 30D+20D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

22 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
10.6 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
0.1 / 35
Technicals
2 / 15
Macro
1.9 / 10
Smart money10.6 / 40

  • Director HOGLUND ROBERT N bought $98K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +195200

  • TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP increased position ($160.5M) (+191%)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • SOROS FUND MANAGEMENT LLC opened position ($26.7M)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3

  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $3.2M (13F 2025-09-30)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $29.9M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $51.7M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3

  • short-volume tape softening: latest 35.5% fell 13.8pp vs 20d avg 49.3%

    FINRA short interest· source

    +2
Fund. & Earn.0.1 / 35

  • Net debt reduced 0.5% YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +0.1
Technicals2 / 15

  • RSI(14) 45.9 (neutral)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • MACD histogram 0.004 (positive)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • EMA stack bearish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • Latest day's short ratio 35.5% (13.8pp below 20d baseline)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
Macro1.9 / 10

  • VIX 17.8 (mild) as of 2026-05-18

    Macro composite· source

    +17.8

  • 10y-2y spread 54bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-19

    Macro composite· source

    +0.54

  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5

  • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.99

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.83pp at 31th-pct trailing-90d (mid credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.83

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3

  • 10y-3m spread 100bps (positive) as of 2026-05-19

    Macro composite· source

    +1
Recommendation receipt

Source chain complete.

Recommendation cmppnerjb0... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

100.0%
linked
3
events
2
sources
1
signals
Source coverage3 / 3
SEC EDGAR 13F2/2 linked
SEC EDGAR Form 41/1 linked
Latest source events

  • SEC EDGAR 13F

    FILING 13F FUND FLOW · 2026-05-15· source

    raw linked

  • SEC EDGAR 13F

    FILING 13F FUND FLOW · 2026-05-15· source

    raw linked

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-12· source

    raw linked
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
SEC EDGAR 13F+1.17%
D7
+1.17%
n=78 · 63% hit
D15
n/a
D30
n/a
SEC EDGAR Form 4+1.87%
D7
+1.87%
n=69 · 67% hit
D15
+1.41%
n=28 · 61% hit
D30
n/a
Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP

13F filer

+1.59%
D7
+1.59%
n=64 · 69% hit
D15
n/a
D30
n/a
SOROS FUND MANAGEMENT LLC

13F filer

-1.49%
D7
-1.49%
n=2 · 0% hit
D15
n/a
D30
n/a
Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 950142.

Signal payload hash
b4df9d9ed0222bc581c7d4a03e3b2592d96bbbb1317bc88a58d647f202f69545
Timestamp
2026-05-19 21:39 UTC
Ticker
POR
Direction
Long
Issued price
$49.29
Bitcoin block
950142