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NVDA

LongInsider Cluster

Smart-money signal on NVDA this 14d.

verified·02f222ad8546
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+0.0%alpha vs SPY
Day 5 of 30
Tracking to 30D
NVDA signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Conviction
13/100
Weakconfidence
Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 19, 2026
Price
$222.32
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 5of 30
Next checkpoint: 7D in 2D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7D+2D
  2. 15D+10D
  3. 30D+25D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

22 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
7 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
0 / 35
Technicals
4 / 15
Macro
2 / 10
Smart money7 / 40

  • SOROS FUND MANAGEMENT LLC increased position ($187.2M) (+61%)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3

  • Tiger Global Management LLC holds $2.1B (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • ARK Investment Management LLC holds $180.6M (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $162.5M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • ARK ETF Trust holds $108.7M (NPORT-P 2026-01-30)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +5

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $4.0B (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • short-volume tape softening: latest 30.4% fell 10.0pp vs 20d avg 40.4%

    FINRA short interest· source

    +2
Fund. & Earn.0 / 35
    Technicals4 / 15

    • RSI(14) 61.7 (elevated)

      Price + volume· source

      +0

    • MACD histogram 1.258 (positive)

      Price + volume· source

      +1

    • EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)

      Price + volume· source

      +1

    • Multi-timeframe partial confluence (2-of-3, no opposing) (1d=LONG, 1w=LONG, 1m=NEUTRAL)

      Price + volume· source

      +1

    • Latest day's short ratio 30.4% (10.0pp below 20d baseline)

      Price + volume· source

      +1
    Macro2 / 10

    • VIX 18.4 (mild) as of 2026-05-15

      Macro composite· source

      +18.4

    • 10y-2y spread 50bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-15

      Macro composite· source

      +0.5

    • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

      Macro composite· source

      +102.5

    • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

      Macro composite· source

      +0.99

    • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

      Macro composite· source

      +3.95

    • HY OAS 2.80pp at 23th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

      Macro composite· source

      +2.8

    • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

      Macro composite· source

      +0.16

    • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

      Macro composite· source

      +4.87

    • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

      Macro composite· source

      +53.3

    • 10y-3m spread 90bps (positive) as of 2026-05-15

      Macro composite· source

      +0.9
    Cryptographic proof

    Anchored on Bitcoin.

    At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

    Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

    Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 950020.

    Signal payload hash
    02f222ad854609874a39c84aa30a7f86f3185f2a7f2d0bb61cf0816b91831373
    Timestamp
    2026-05-19 01:46 UTC
    Ticker
    NVDA
    Direction
    Long
    Issued price
    $222.32
    Bitcoin block
    950020