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J

LongInsider Buy

C-suite insider bought $400K of J this 14d.

verified·dfde7aa4e766
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+3.5%alpha vs SPY
Day 12 of 30
Tracking to 30D
J signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
17
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 18, 2026
Price
$110.51
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 12of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D in 3D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15D+3D
  3. 30D+18D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

22 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
10.2 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
3 / 35
Technicals
2 / 15
Macro
2 / 10
Smart money10.2 / 40
  • Chair & CEO PRAGADA ROBERT V bought $400K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +1200105
  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $30.6M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5
  • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $104.2M (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4
  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $70.1M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4
  • Janus Investment Fund (legacy active) holds $554K (NPORT-P 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4
  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $11.9M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3
  • short-volume tape softening: latest 58.1% fell 9.2pp vs 19d avg 67.2%

    FINRA short interest· source

    +1
Fund. & Earn.3 / 35
  • Revenue growth 27.0% YoY (period end 2026-03-27)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +3
Technicals2 / 15
  • RSI(14) 34.2 (mild, room above)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
  • MACD histogram -1.859 (negative)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
  • EMA stack bearish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
  • Latest day's short ratio 58.1% (9.2pp below 19d baseline)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
Macro2 / 10
  • VIX 17.3 (mild) as of 2026-05-14

    Macro composite· source

    +17.3
  • 10y-2y spread 50bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-15

    Macro composite· source

    +0.5
  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5
  • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.99
  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95
  • HY OAS 2.76pp at 16th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.76
  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16
  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87
  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3
  • 10y-3m spread 90bps (positive) as of 2026-05-15

    Macro composite· source

    +0.9
Recommendation receipt

Source chain complete.

Recommendation cmppnerje0... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

100.0%
linked
1
event
1
sources
1
signals
Source coverage1 / 1
SEC EDGAR Form 41/1 linked
Latest source events
  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-18· source

    raw linked
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
D7
+1.95%
n=57 · 68% hit
D15
+1.41%
n=28 · 61% hit
D30
n/a
Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance

No recurring actor in prior matured recommendations yet.

Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 949938.

Signal payload hash
dfde7aa4e766237328ee5a3d3c9eb39f1da11527749540d294c0be273158903e
Timestamp
2026-05-18 10:49 UTC
Ticker
J
Direction
Long
Issued price
$110.51
Bitcoin block
949938