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AVGO

LongInsider Cluster

Smart-money signal on AVGO this 14d.

verified·ed5ab8a6b878
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
-2.4%alpha vs SPY
Day 12 of 30
Tracking to 30D
AVGO signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
15
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 18, 2026
Price
$425.19
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 12of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D in 3D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15D+3D
  3. 30D+18D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

21 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
6 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
6 / 35
Technicals
1 / 15
Macro
2 / 10
Smart money6 / 40

  • ARK ETF Trust [ARK Innovation ETF] opened position ($59.4M)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +5

  • Tiger Global Management LLC holds $1.1B (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • ARK Investment Management LLC holds $126.2M (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $308K (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Fidelity Magellan Fund holds $1.8B (NPORT-P 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4

  • D. E. Shaw & Co Inc holds $1.7B (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4
Fund. & Earn.6 / 35

  • Revenue growth 29.5% YoY (period end 2026-02-01)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +3

  • Operating margin expanded 237bps YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +3
Technicals1 / 15

  • RSI(14) 58.6 (elevated)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • MACD histogram -2.109 (negative)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
Macro2 / 10

  • VIX 17.3 (mild) as of 2026-05-14

    Macro composite· source

    +17.3

  • 10y-2y spread 50bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-15

    Macro composite· source

    +0.5

  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5

  • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.99

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.76pp at 16th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.76

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3

  • 10y-3m spread 90bps (positive) as of 2026-05-15

    Macro composite· source

    +0.9
Recommendation receipt

Source chain complete.

Recommendation cmppnerje0... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

100.0%
linked
1
event
1
sources
1
signals
Source coverage1 / 1
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P1/1 linked
Latest source events

  • SEC EDGAR NPORT-P

    FILING NPORT P FUND FLOW · 2026-03-31· source

    raw linked
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P-8.66%
D7
-8.66%
n=1 · 0% hit
D15
-5.01%
n=1 · 0% hit
D30
n/a
Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance

No recurring actor in prior matured recommendations yet.

Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 949912.

Signal payload hash
ed5ab8a6b8781cc69c327863c1b501d25de1bf9fb9a44c30b938b9bd4e02cf83
Timestamp
2026-05-18 07:16 UTC
Ticker
AVGO
Direction
Long
Issued price
$425.19
Bitcoin block
949912