Watch closely. This call was saved, but it is not strong enough to count in the public scorecard. Treat it as stock context, not an AlphaYou public call. Reasons: confidence:WEAK, score:13<14. Read rules.

MCD

LongInsider Cluster

Smart-money signal on MCD this 14d.

saved·0778e146312c·2026-05-15 20:57 UTC

Status

Active · step 3 of 6

Detected
Verified
Active
Cooling
Resolved
Scored

Result so far

-2.7%edge vs SPY

Day 28 of 30

Tracking to 30D

MCD call

SPY benchmark

target band

projection

AlphaYou score

Watch closely

internal bandWeak

Higher means the call has more support from the data we track.

Target move

+5% to +15%

by 30D from when the call was saved

Saved

Date: May 15, 2026
Price: $276.39
Time: 30D

Time passed

Day 28of 30

Next result check: 30D in 2D

Result checks

7 checks after the call

7DChecked
15DChecked
30D+2D
60DOut
120DOut
180DOut
1YOut

At each check, we record what happened. We do not rewrite old calls.

Why this call?

23 reasons went into this score.

The score comes from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Open each section to see the source behind the reason.

Smart money

8 / 40

Fund. & Earn.

1.8 / 35

Technicals

1 / 15

Macro

2 / 10

Smart money8 / 40

SOROS FUND MANAGEMENT LLC opened position ($38.4M)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
+3
Rep. Hon. Jared Moskowitz bought MCD ($1,001-$15,000)
House STOCK Act + Senate eFD· source
+1
Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $27.9M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
+5
Citadel Advisors LLC holds $158.6M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
+4
Janus Investment Fund (legacy active) holds $157.4M (NPORT-P 2025-09-30)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
+4
Marshall Wace North America LP holds $104.1M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
+4
Two Sigma Investments LP holds $23.9M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
+4
short-volume tape softening: latest 46.5% fell 6.1pp vs 20d avg 52.6%
FINRA short interest· source
+1

Fund. & Earn.1.8 / 35

Revenue growth 3.7% YoY (period end 2025-12-31)
Earnings releases (8-K)· source
+0.4
Operating margin expanded 91bps YoY
10-Q + 10-K· source
+1.4

Technicals1 / 15

RSI(14) 29.1 (oversold, mean-reversion bias up)
Price + volume· source
+1
MACD histogram -0.577 (negative)
Price + volume· source
+0
EMA stack bearish (9/21/50)
Price + volume· source
+0

Macro2 / 10

VIX 17.3 (mild) as of 2026-05-14
Macro composite· source
+17.3
10y-2y spread 47bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-14
Macro composite· source
+0.47
Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
+102.5
Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)
Macro composite· source
+0.99
CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
+3.95
HY OAS 2.76pp at 16th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)
Macro composite· source
+2.76
Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
+0.16
Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
+4.87
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01
Macro composite· source
+53.3
10y-3m spread 78bps (positive) as of 2026-05-14
Macro composite· source
+0.78

Public record

This call is saved, but not in the public scorecard.

You can still check when this call was saved below. It is not counted in the main win/loss scorecard.

Can you check it?

Saved on Bitcoin.

When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, score, reasons, target range, price, and time. The code on the right lets anyone check that the saved record was not changed later.

Download proof file How this works

Saved on Bitcoin block 949564.

Saved record code

0778e146312c3bbf6db661e851d314595a9c425c15b5f43b5289e158b5b66ff3

Saved time: 2026-05-15 20:57 UTC
Ticker: MCD
Direction: Long
Issued price: $276.39
Bitcoin block: 949564