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NVDA

LongInsider Cluster

Smart-money signal on NVDA this 14d.

verified·4cf934c7108e
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
-5.3%alpha vs SPY
Day 9 of 30
Tracking to 30D
NVDA signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Conviction
12/100
Weakconfidence
Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 15, 2026
Price
$225.32
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 9of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D in 6D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15D+6D
  3. 30D+21D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

21 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
7 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
0 / 35
Technicals
3 / 15
Macro
2 / 10
Smart money7 / 40

  • TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP increased position ($2.0B) (+832%)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Rep. Hon. John McGuire bought NVDA ($1,001-$15,000)

    House STOCK Act + Senate eFD· source

    +1

  • Tiger Global Management LLC holds $2.1B (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • ARK Investment Management LLC holds $180.6M (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $162.5M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $4.0B (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Janus Investment Fund (legacy active) holds $4.0B (NPORT-P 2026-09-30)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4
Fund. & Earn.0 / 35
    Technicals3 / 15

    • RSI(14) 64.8 (elevated)

      Price + volume· source

      +0

    • MACD histogram 1.853 (positive)

      Price + volume· source

      +1

    • EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)

      Price + volume· source

      +1

    • Multi-timeframe partial confluence (2-of-3, no opposing) (1d=LONG, 1w=LONG, 1m=NEUTRAL)

      Price + volume· source

      +1
    Macro2 / 10

    • VIX 17.3 (mild) as of 2026-05-14

      Macro composite· source

      +17.3

    • 10y-2y spread 47bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-14

      Macro composite· source

      +0.47

    • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

      Macro composite· source

      +102.5

    • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

      Macro composite· source

      +0.99

    • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

      Macro composite· source

      +3.95

    • HY OAS 2.76pp at 16th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

      Macro composite· source

      +2.76

    • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

      Macro composite· source

      +0.16

    • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

      Macro composite· source

      +4.87

    • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

      Macro composite· source

      +53.3

    • 10y-3m spread 78bps (positive) as of 2026-05-14

      Macro composite· source

      +0.78
    Cryptographic proof

    Anchored on Bitcoin.

    At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

    Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

    Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 949560.

    Signal payload hash
    4cf934c7108e651412bc3f533a24fdef7c77ad53c573a0bde300d23ade7f9ce3
    Timestamp
    2026-05-15 19:57 UTC
    Ticker
    NVDA
    Direction
    Long
    Issued price
    $225.32
    Bitcoin block
    949560