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AAPL

LongInsider Cluster

Smart-money signal on AAPL this 14d.

verified·274cd94edd68
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+2.0%alpha vs SPY
Day 9 of 30
Tracking to 30D
AAPL signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Conviction
16/100
Weakconfidence
Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 15, 2026
Price
$300.23
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 9of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D in 6D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15D+6D
  3. 30D+21D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

23 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
5 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
5.9 / 35
Technicals
3 / 15
Macro
2 / 10
Smart money5 / 40

  • TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP increased position ($1.5B) (+567%)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Berkshire Hathaway Inc holds $62.0B (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $798K (13F 2025-09-30)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Janus Investment Fund (legacy active) holds $1.8B (NPORT-P 2026-09-30)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $1.5B (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • American Funds Insurance Series holds $1.4B (NPORT-P 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4
Fund. & Earn.5.9 / 35

  • Revenue growth 16.6% YoY (period end 2026-03-28)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +2

  • Operating margin expanded 125bps YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +1.9

  • Net debt reduced 32.2% YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +2
Technicals3 / 15

  • RSI(14) 75.7 (overbought, mean-reversion bias down)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • MACD histogram 1.746 (positive)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • Multi-timeframe partial confluence (2-of-3, no opposing) (1d=LONG, 1w=LONG, 1m=NEUTRAL)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
Macro2 / 10

  • VIX 17.3 (mild) as of 2026-05-14

    Macro composite· source

    +17.3

  • 10y-2y spread 47bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-14

    Macro composite· source

    +0.47

  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5

  • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.99

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.76pp at 16th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.76

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3

  • 10y-3m spread 78bps (positive) as of 2026-05-14

    Macro composite· source

    +0.78
Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 949560.

Signal payload hash
274cd94edd682aa818e38462f88df9fddb8fe0d039a147788e823a6a4e918ffe
Timestamp
2026-05-15 19:57 UTC
Ticker
AAPL
Direction
Long
Issued price
$300.23
Bitcoin block
949560