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Watch closely. This call was saved, but it is not strong enough to count in the public scorecard. Treat it as stock context, not an AlphaYou public call. Reasons: confidence:WEAK, score:12<14. Read rules.
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AMAT

LongInsider Cluster

Smart-money signal on AMAT this 14d.

saved·5f678e127fd9
Status
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Result so far
+2.5%edge vs SPY
Day 28 of 30
Tracking to 30D
AMAT call
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
AlphaYou score
12
Watch closely
internal bandWeak

Higher means the call has more support from the data we track.

Target move
+5% to +15%
by 30D from when the call was saved
Saved
Date
May 15, 2026
Price
$436.62
Time
30D
Time passed
Day 28of 30
Next result check: 30D in 2D
Result checks
7 checks after the call
  1. 7DChecked
  2. 15DChecked
  3. 30D+2D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each check, we record what happened. We do not rewrite old calls.

Why this call?

21 reasons went into this score.

The score comes from smart money, fundamentals, technicals, and macro. Open each section to see the source behind the reason.

Smart money
7 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
0 / 35
Technicals
3 / 15
Macro
2 / 10
Smart money7 / 40

  • TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP increased position ($151.6M) (+1332%)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • TIGER GLOBAL MANAGEMENT LLC increased position ($566.3M) (+85%)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • D. E. Shaw & Co Inc holds $1.5B (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $636.1M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Janus Investment Fund (legacy active) holds $308.2M (NPORT-P 2025-09-30)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4

  • American Funds Insurance Series holds $48.7M (NPORT-P 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4

  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $1.2B (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3
Fund. & Earn.0 / 35
    Technicals3 / 15

    • RSI(14) 61.8 (elevated)

      Price + volume· source

      +0

    • MACD histogram 2.110 (positive)

      Price + volume· source

      +1

    • EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)

      Price + volume· source

      +1

    • Multi-timeframe partial confluence (2-of-3, no opposing) (1d=LONG, 1w=LONG, 1m=NEUTRAL)

      Price + volume· source

      +1
    Macro2 / 10

    • VIX 17.3 (mild) as of 2026-05-14

      Macro composite· source

      +17.3

    • 10y-2y spread 47bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-14

      Macro composite· source

      +0.47

    • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

      Macro composite· source

      +102.5

    • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

      Macro composite· source

      +0.99

    • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

      Macro composite· source

      +3.95

    • HY OAS 2.76pp at 16th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

      Macro composite· source

      +2.76

    • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

      Macro composite· source

      +0.16

    • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

      Macro composite· source

      +4.87

    • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

      Macro composite· source

      +53.3

    • 10y-3m spread 78bps (positive) as of 2026-05-14

      Macro composite· source

      +0.78
    Public record

    This call is saved, but not in the public scorecard.

    You can still check when this call was saved below. It is not counted in the main win/loss scorecard.

    Can you check it?

    Saved on Bitcoin.

    When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, score, reasons, target range, price, and time. The code on the right lets anyone check that the saved record was not changed later.

    Download proof fileHow this works

    Saved on Bitcoin block 949560.

    Saved record code
    5f678e127fd9b22874313536f0486ae5b79ee36888a80c869c56512f7b3585c2
    Saved time
    2026-05-15 19:57 UTC
    Ticker
    AMAT
    Direction
    Long
    Issued price
    $436.62
    Bitcoin block
    949560