AlphaYou
MSFT
LongInsider ClusterSmart-money signal on MSFT this 14d.
Result so far
-4.3%vs SPY · this call
Day 48 of 30
Tracking to 30D
MSFT call
SPY benchmark
Target move
+5% to +15%
by 30D from when the call was saved
Baseline band: this call was saved before per-stock volatility targets shipped (Jun 29, 2026), so it uses AlphaYou's standard band. Newer calls carry stock-specific targets.
Saved
- Date
- May 15, 2026
- Price
- $409.43
- Time
- 30D
Time passed
Day 48of 30
Why this call?
22 source inputs support this call.
Start with the four driver buckets, then open each section for the source-level detail behind the call.
Smart MoneyMultiple inputs7 inputs
DriverRep. Hon. John McGuire bought MSFT ($1,001-$15,000)
FundamentalsSupporting inputs3 inputs
DriverRevenue growth 18.3% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)
TechnicalsSupporting inputs2 inputs
DriverEMA stack bullish (9/21/50)
MacroMultiple inputs10 inputs
DriverVIX 17.9 (mild) as of 2026-05-13
Smart Money7 inputs
- RH
Rep. Hon. John McGuire bought MSFT ($1,001-$15,000)
House STOCK Act + Senate eFD· source
Tiger Global Management LLC holds $2.6B (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $332.8M (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
ARK Investment Management LLC holds $2.4M (13F 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
Marshall Wace North America LP holds $3.7B (13F 2025-12-31)
SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source
- FM
Fidelity Magellan Fund holds $3.3B (NPORT-P 2026-03-31)
SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source
- SM
short-volume tape softening: latest 27.4% fell 10.3pp vs 20d avg 37.7%
FINRA short interest· source
Macro10 inputs
VIX 17.9 (mild) as of 2026-05-13
Macro composite· source
10y-2y spread 48bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-13
Macro composite· source
Industrial Production 101.8 (flat) as of 2026-03-01
Macro composite· source
Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)
Macro composite· source
CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
HY OAS 2.82pp at 29th-pct trailing-90d (mid credit spread)
Macro composite· source
Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01
Macro composite· source
10y-3m spread 77bps (positive) as of 2026-05-13
Macro composite· source
Result checks
- 7D
- 15D
- 30D
- 60D
- 90D
- 120D
- 180D
- 1Y
Public record
Source links complete.
We group 3 same-day calls into one public result, so wins and misses cannot be cherry-picked. The source links below show what the call was based on.
100.0%
linked
3
events
2
sources
3
calls
Source links3 / 3
SEC EDGAR 13F2/2 linked
house-clerk-ptr-pdf1/1 linked
Past source results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call
house-clerk-ptr-pdf-0.43%
D7
-0.43%
9 calls · 33% hit
D15
+1.86%
9 calls · 67% hit
D30
+2.84%
9 calls · 56% hit
Past person or fund results7 / 15 / 30 days before this call
No older results for this person or fund yet.
Call timingSaved record, target window, and result checks
- Target
- +5% to +15%
- Saved
- May 15, 2026
- Hold
- 30D
ExpandCollapse
Call timing
Saved record, target window, and result checks
- Target
- +5% to +15%
- Saved
- May 15, 2026
- Hold
- 30D
- Target
- +5% to +15%
- Saved
- May 15, 2026
- Entry
- $409.43
- Window
- 30D
Day 48of 30
AlphaYou measures this call against SPY at fixed checkpoints. Wins and misses stay visible on the public record.
Audit trail
Cooling · step 4 of 6- Detected
- Verified
- Active
- Cooling
- Resolved
- Measured
Proof
Call saved on Bitcoin blockchain.
When this call was made, we saved the ticker, direction, reasons, target range, price, and time so the record can be checked later.
Call saved on Bitcoin block 949484.
Saved record code
ce0b2512554cad31ef998e6f957ea7eadda26f92407068426cd0d1d95b96f1b9
- Saved time
- 2026-05-15 07:57 UTC
- Ticker
- MSFT
- Direction
- Long
- Issued price
- $409.43
- Bitcoin block
- 949484