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KHC

LongInsider Buy

C-suite insider bought $5.0M of KHC this 14d.

verified·07fc6210d8f3
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+1.9%alpha vs SPY
Day 17 of 30
Tracking to 30D
KHC signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
17
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 13, 2026
Price
$23.18
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 17of 30
Next checkpoint: 30D in 13D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15DLogged
  3. 30D+13D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

22 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
13.4 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
0.1 / 35
Technicals
2 / 15
Macro
1.8 / 10
Smart money13.4 / 40
  • Chief Executive Officer CAHILLANE STEVEN A bought $5.0M

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +14999423
  • Berkshire Hathaway Inc holds $7.9B (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5
  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $22.0M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5
  • Marshall Wace North America LP holds $60.0M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4
  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $33.6M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4
  • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $5.4M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4
  • short-volume tape softening: latest 35.3% fell 19.5pp vs 20d avg 54.8%

    FINRA short interest· source

    +2
Fund. & Earn.0.1 / 35
  • Revenue growth 0.8% YoY (period end 2026-03-28)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +0.1
Technicals2 / 15
  • RSI(14) 55.1 (elevated)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
  • MACD histogram 0.126 (positive)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
  • EMA stack mixed (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
  • Latest day's short ratio 35.3% (19.5pp below 20d baseline)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
Macro1.8 / 10
  • VIX 18.0 (mild) as of 2026-05-12

    Macro composite· source

    +18
  • 10y-2y spread 46bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-12

    Macro composite· source

    +0.46
  • Industrial Production 101.8 (flat) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +101.8
  • Initial claims 200,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.93, subdued)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.93
  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95
  • HY OAS 2.82pp at 29th-pct trailing-90d (mid credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.82
  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16
  • Retail sales 3.97% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.97
  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3
  • 10y-3m spread 76bps (positive) as of 2026-05-12

    Macro composite· source

    +0.76
Recommendation receipt

Source chain complete.

Recommendation cmppngiv90... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

100.0%
linked
1
event
1
sources
1
signals
Source coverage1 / 1
SEC EDGAR Form 41/1 linked
Latest source events
  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-13· source

    raw linked
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
D7
+1.77%
n=28 · 64% hit
D15
+1.41%
n=28 · 61% hit
D30
n/a
Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance

No recurring actor in prior matured recommendations yet.

Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 949272.

Signal payload hash
07fc6210d8f38c9c69ee4a9a60ae3910b135cc5c79bd245d9df604577217ae3b
Timestamp
2026-05-13 20:27 UTC
Ticker
KHC
Direction
Long
Issued price
$23.18
Bitcoin block
949272