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AVGO

LongInsider Cluster

Smart-money signal on AVGO this 14d.

verified·a7e8e7796d22
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
-3.6%alpha vs SPY
Day 19 of 30
Tracking to 30D
AVGO signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
17
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 11, 2026
Price
$430.00
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 19of 30
Next checkpoint: 30D in 11D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15DLogged
  3. 30D+11D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

23 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
7 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
6 / 35
Technicals
2 / 15
Macro
2 / 10
Smart money7 / 40

  • Rep. Hon. Jared Moskowitz bought AVGO ($1,001-$15,000)

    House STOCK Act + Senate eFD· source

    +1

  • Tiger Global Management LLC holds $995.3M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $308K (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • D. E. Shaw & Co Inc holds $1.9B (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Fidelity Magellan Fund holds $1.7B (NPORT-P 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4

  • Janus Investment Fund (legacy active) holds $1.7B (NPORT-P 2026-09-30)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4

  • short-volume tape softening: latest 25.7% fell 12.2pp vs 19d avg 37.9%

    FINRA short interest· source

    +2
Fund. & Earn.6 / 35

  • Revenue growth 29.5% YoY (period end 2026-02-01)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +3

  • Operating margin expanded 237bps YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +3
Technicals2 / 15

  • RSI(14) 65.9 (elevated)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • MACD histogram -1.292 (negative)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • Latest day's short ratio 25.7% (12.2pp below 19d baseline)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
Macro2 / 10

  • VIX 17.1 (mild) as of 2026-05-07

    Macro composite· source

    +17.1

  • 10y-2y spread 48bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-08

    Macro composite· source

    +0.48

  • Industrial Production 101.8 (flat) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +101.8

  • Initial claims 200,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.93, subdued)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.93

  • CPI YoY 3.32% (in-range vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.32

  • HY OAS 2.79pp at 26th-pct trailing-90d (mid credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.79

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 3.97% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.97

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3

  • 10y-3m spread 69bps (positive) as of 2026-05-08

    Macro composite· source

    +0.69
Recommendation receipt

Source chain complete.

Recommendation cmppngivk0... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

100.0%
linked
1
event
1
sources
1
signals
Source coverage1 / 1
house-clerk-ptr-pdf1/1 linked
Latest source events

  • house-clerk-ptr-pdf

    CONGRESSIONAL TRADE · 2026-04-30· source

    raw linked
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance

No matured prior source record at this issuance time.

Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance

No recurring actor in prior matured recommendations yet.

Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 948944.

Signal payload hash
a7e8e7796d22aac76d2b5cad8a1a395e1d47a729a43e9c8472fde93ed2d078ee
Timestamp
2026-05-11 12:41 UTC
Ticker
AVGO
Direction
Long
Issued price
$430.00
Bitcoin block
948944