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Watch · Mixed Evidence. This signal is recorded in the public log and timestamped to Bitcoin, but it has not cleared AlphaYou's public-recommendation quality gate. Treat as ticker-level context, not a directional recommendation. Reasons: confidence:WEAK, score:13<14. Read methodology.
All signals

ULS

LongInsider Buy

Insider bought $9K of ULS this 14d.

verified·1a907c802d76
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
-3.7%alpha vs SPY
Day 9 of 30
Tracking to 30D
ULS signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
13
Watch · Mixed Evidence
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 21, 2026
Price
$101.98
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 9of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D in 6D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15D+6D
  3. 30D+21D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

23 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
3.5 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
5.9 / 35
Technicals
2 / 15
Macro
1.9 / 10
Smart money3.5 / 40
  • See Remarks Genovesi John A bought $9K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +18732
  • Janus Investment Fund (legacy active) holds $111.3M (NPORT-P 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4
  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $48.9M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4
  • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $19.5M (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4
  • American Funds Insurance Series holds $18.6M (NPORT-P 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4
  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $147.8M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3
Fund. & Earn.5.9 / 35
  • Revenue growth 7.5% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +0.9
  • Operating margin expanded 274bps YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +3
  • Strong ROE (32.0%)

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +1
  • Profitable (11.3% net margin)

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +1
Technicals2 / 15
  • RSI(14) 64.2 (elevated)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
  • MACD histogram 0.033 (positive)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
  • EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
Macro1.9 / 10
  • VIX 18.1 (mild) as of 2026-05-19

    Macro composite· source

    +18.1
  • 10y-2y spread 53bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-20

    Macro composite· source

    +0.53
  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5
  • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.99
  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95
  • HY OAS 2.86pp at 49th-pct trailing-90d (mid credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.86
  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16
  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87
  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3
  • 10y-3m spread 92bps (positive) as of 2026-05-20

    Macro composite· source

    +0.92
Recommendation receipt

Signal-level proof only.

This signal does not currently map to a public Recommendation Ledger row. Its cryptographic signal hash is still available below, but it is not counted in the public track record.

Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 950378.

Signal payload hash
1a907c802d76d11439c3c14f4fc6a276643006fe904a976ab10ddfeeb953ed9e
Timestamp
2026-05-21 12:20 UTC
Ticker
ULS
Direction
Long
Issued price
$101.98
Bitcoin block
950378